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Ethereum · 2026-08-19

اتجاه ذلك اليوم: صعود حذر

رؤية ذلك اليوم: ETH closed at $2,252.80 on 8/19 (+17.46%), spiking to 2,333.65 intraday before pulling back, range 1,906-2,334; volume 799,553 ETH vs 8/18 surged +453% (5.53x), but OI inversely declined -1.67% (2,382,365->2,342,484), funding rose to +0.00656% (8/18: +0.00372%), main force (c) short-covering driven rebound; retail long/short ratio 2.30 (extremely long) diverges from whale 1.43 mild long, obvious retail chase-long structure. FGI 46 neutral. ETH/BTC gain 2.45x extremely strong independent move, vs BTC (a) healthy volume expansion forming pattern divergence case #11; short-term watch 2,300 breakout confirmation and 2,150 pullback support, beware short-squeeze ending and giveback if funding keeps rising.

Key Data

  • ETH Close: UTC 2026-08-19 00:00 at $1,917.85, UTC 2026-08-19 24:00 at $2,256.45, +17.46% within window
  • Intraday amplitude: high $2,333.65 / low $1,906.00, amplitude $427.65 (22.30%)
  • 24h network volume: 799,553 ETH (~$1.683B)
  • Perpetual funding rate: 4-period avg +0.00656% (08-19 00:00 +0.00360% / 08-19 08:00 +0.00264% / 08-19 16:00 +0.01000% / 08-20 00:00 +0.01000%)
  • Taker buy/sell ratio: 24h avg 1.0961, latest 1.0493
  • Long/short account ratio (retail): 24h avg 2.2983, latest 2.5051
  • Whale long/short position ratio: 24h avg 1.3877, latest 1.4281
  • Open interest (OI): 24h net -1.67%, now 2,342,484 ETH
  • Perpetual basis: stable in -0.05% to +0.05% range
  • Fear & Greed Index: 46 (Fear) on 2026-08-19

24H Price Review

  • Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): open $1,917.85 -> $1,910.27, -0.40%, 6h volume 30,667 ETH.
  • Phase · Late Morning (UTC 06-12): open $1,910.28 -> $1,923.06, +0.67%, 6h volume 40,150 ETH.
  • Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): open $1,923.06 -> $2,091.02, +8.73%, 6h volume 398,894 ETH.
  • Phase · Closing (UTC 18-24): open $2,091.03 -> $2,252.80, +7.74%, 6h volume 329,842 ETH.

Macro Calendar

  • 🟡 2026-08-19 (Wed) · U.S. July Retail Sales (MoM) · Impact: Medium
  • 🟡 2026-08-26 (Wed) · U.S. August Consumer Confidence Index · Impact: Medium
  • 🟡 2026-08-28 (Fri) · BTC August Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
  • 🔴 2026-09-01 (Tue) · U.S. August ISM Manufacturing Index · Impact: High
  • 🔴 2026-09-04 (Fri) · U.S. August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) · Impact: High
  • 🔴 2026-09-11 (Fri) · U.S. August Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
  • 🔴 2026-09-16 (Wed) · Fed September Rate Decision · Impact: High
  • 🔴 2026-09-17 (Thu) · Fed Chair Press Conference (Powell) · Impact: High

Bull vs. Bear

  • Phase 1 (UTC 00-06) single-phase dump -0.40% + concentrated volume 30,667 ETH | touched window low $1,906.00, typical "news-driven concentrated sell pressure" pattern
  • OI 24h net -1.67% long-short simultaneous deleveraging | OI net -39,881 ETH decrease, both sides actively reducing positions, typical deleveraging state
  • Amplitude 22.30% high volatility reflects intense bull-bear contest | 24h amplitude 22.30% hit recent high, rising price volatility = increased position risk
  • Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase rebound +8.73% + volume 398,894 ETH | touched window high $2,333.65, typical "technical rebound after sell-off" pattern
  • Whale long/short ratio 24h avg 1.39 — institutions mildly bullish | Whale L/S 24h avg 1.39 / late-session 1.43, showing institutions maintained a mildly bullish stance through the window
  • Late-session taker buy ratio 1.0493 > 1.0 — buying pressure returning | Late-session taker buying returned, showing buy-side support near $1,906.00

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