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Bitcoin · 2026-07-13

That day's trend: Cautiously bearish

That day's view: BTC closed 7/13 at $62,334 (-2.27%), with a high of $64,425 and a low of $61,825. Volume came in at 21,683 BTC, roughly 18% lower than 7/12. Funding flipped positive to +0.00616% but remains in the ultra-low band, while OI rose +6.58%, indicating major-player accumulation. The combination of shrinking volume, falling price, and rising OI suggests majors are adding longs into the weak bounce, but retail trapped longs remain unresolved, framed as pattern (b) — short squeeze plus weak distribution. FGI 28 stays in extreme fear, so bottom-fishing sentiment is muted. Watch $62,000 — a break opens a test of $58,800 strong support, with resistance at $64,400. Event-side, focus on the U.S. CPI print and ETF fund flows. This is the 13th structural divergence (BTC majors adding longs vs. ETH majors cutting exposure — opposite mechanics).

Key Data

  • BTC Close: UTC 2026-07-13 00:00 at $63,780.00, UTC 2026-07-13 24:00 at $62,296.01, -2.27% in window
  • Intraday Range: High $64,425.00 / Low $61,824.97, range $2,600.03 (4.08%)
  • 24h Total Network Volume: 21,683 BTC (~$1.361B)
  • Perpetual Funding Rate: 4-period avg +0.00616% (00:00 +0.00152% / 08:00 +0.00486% / 16:00 +0.01000% / 24:00 +0.00826%)
  • Taker Buy/Sell Ratio: 24h avg 0.9671, latest 1.6373
  • Retail Long/Short Ratio: 24h avg 1.6106, latest 1.8441
  • Top-Trader Long/Short Ratio: 24h avg 1.5926, latest 1.7009
  • Open Interest (OI): 24h net +6.58%, currently 107,309 BTC
  • Perpetual Basis: stable in -0.05% to +0.05% band
  • Fear & Greed Index: 2026-07-13 reading 28 (Fear)

24H Price Review

  • Phase · Early Session (UTC 00-06): Open $63,780.00 → $62,799.00, -1.54%, 6h volume 5,426 BTC.
  • Phase · Mid-Morning (UTC 06-12): Open $62,799.01 → $62,901.99, +0.16%, 6h volume 5,664 BTC.
  • Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): Open $62,901.99 → $61,904.99, -1.59%, 6h volume 8,004 BTC.
  • Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): Open $61,904.99 → $62,334.52, +0.69%, 6h volume 2,588 BTC.

Macro Calendar

  • 🟡 2026-07-14 (Tue) · U.S. June Producer Price Index (PPI) · Impact: Medium
  • 🔴 2026-07-15 (Wed) · U.S. June Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
  • 🟡 2026-07-22 (Wed) · BTC July Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium

Bull vs. Bear

  • OI 24h net +6.58%, price down + OI up = active short accumulation | OI added +6,629 BTC while price fell -2.27%, classic active short accumulation
  • Taker sell-side 24h avg 0.9671 < 1.0, sellers dominant | Taker remained sell-dominant; although late-session 1.6373 showed buy-side return, price failed to bounce meaningfully
  • 🐂 Bull Case
  • Top-trader L/S 24h avg 1.59 — institutions mildly bullish | Top-trader L/S 24h avg 1.59 / late 1.70, showing institutions maintained a mildly bullish stance through the window
  • Taker buy-side late session 1.6373 > 1.0, buyers returning | Late-session taker buy-side returned, showing market found buy support near $61,824.97

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