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Bitcoin · 2026-07-20

That day's trend: Neutral leaning bullish

That day's view: BTC opened on July 20 at $64,722.55 and closed at $65,255.51, with an intraday high of $65,799.00 and a low of $63,100.00, a 24-hour change of +0.82%. Volume of 21,323 BTC (approximately $1.378 billion) rose 0.82% day-on-day — price and volume moved in sync but expansion remained limited. Average perpetual funding was +0.00552%, with no flip observed. OI moved -1.08% to 101,265 BTC; the price-up + OI-down pattern indicates short-covering is the primary driver, tagged (c). FGI sat at 29, still in fear — sentiment repair remains incomplete. Watch the $65,799.00 resistance and $63,100.00 support. A clean breakout above resistance on rising volume would extend the rebound; a break below support would raise risk of a post-rally pullback.

Key Data

  • BTC close: UTC 2026-07-20 00:00 $64,722.55, UTC 2026-07-20 24:00 $65,203.99, window change +0.82%
  • Intraday range: High $65,799.00 / Low $63,100.00, swing $2,699.00 (4.17%)
  • 24-hour total volume: 21,323 BTC (~$1.378 billion)
  • Perpetual funding rate: 4-period average +0.00552% (07-20 00:00 +0.00489% / 07-20 08:00 +0.00528% / 07-20 16:00 +0.00652% / 07-21 00:00 +0.00540%)
  • Aggressive buy/sell ratio: 24h average 1.0752, latest 1.0345
  • Retail long/short ratio: 24h average 1.3350, latest 1.2168
  • Top-trader long/short ratio: 24h average 1.4895, latest 1.4801
  • Open Interest (OI): 24h net -1.08%, currently 101,265 BTC
  • Perpetual basis: Stable in -0.05% to +0.05% range
  • Fear & Greed Index: 2026-07-20 reading 29 (Fear)

24H Price Review

  • Phase · Early Session (UTC 00-06): open $64,722.55 → $64,128.00, -0.92%, 6h volume 3,169 BTC.
  • Phase · Late Morning (UTC 06-12): open $64,128.01 → $65,002.01, +1.36%, 6h volume 7,640 BTC.
  • Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): open $65,002.00 → $65,587.98, +0.90%, 6h volume 7,578 BTC.
  • Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): open $65,587.99 → $65,255.51, -0.51%, 6h volume 2,937 BTC.

Macro Calendar

  • 🟡 2026-07-22 (Wed) · BTC July options expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
  • 🟡 2026-07-28 (Tue) · US June Durable Goods Orders · Impact: Medium
  • 🔴 2026-07-29 (Wed) · Fed July FOMC rate decision · Impact: High
  • 🔴 2026-07-30 (Thu) · Fed Chair Powell press conference · Impact: High

Bull vs. Bear

  • Phase 1 (UTC 00-06) sharp drop -0.92% + volume concentrated at 3,169 BTC | touched window low $63,100.00, classic "negative-event triggered concentrated selling" pattern
  • OI 24h net -1.08% — both sides de-leveraging | OI net -1,094 BTC, both long and short positions actively reduced, typical deleveraging state
  • Amplitude 4.17% — high volatility reflects fierce long/short contest | 24h amplitude 4.17% hits recent high; rising volatility = rising position risk
  • Phase 2 (UTC 06-12) single-phase rebound +1.36% + volume 7,640 BTC | touched window high $65,799.00, classic "post-event technical rebound" pattern
  • Top-trader long/short 24h average 1.49 — institutions mildly bullish | Top-trader L/S 24h avg 1.49 / close 1.48, institutions maintained a mildly bullish stance through the window
  • Aggressive buying at close 1.0345 > 1.0 — buy-side return | Close taker buy pressure returned, showing bids support near $63,100.00

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