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Bitcoin · 2026-07-30

That day's trend: Cautiously bullish

That day's view: On July 30, BTC closed at $64,780 (+1.24%), forming a V-shaped rebound after dipping to an intraday low of $63,603 (prior L) before a strong recovery, with a session high of $65,176 (prior H). Spot volume of 17,132 BTC rose 2.1% from July 29 (16,780 BTC), a moderate increase in participation. Open Interest climbed 2.15% in tandem with price, indicating mild position-building by major players. The funding rate edged deeper to +0.00869% (vs. +0.00825% on July 29, +0.4bps), still in a moderately bullish territory. The taker buy/sell ratio of 1.119 confirms buy-side dominance, with retail following but not in a frenzy. The composite reading is a (c-mix) healthy rebound: moderate volume expansion + synchronized major-player accumulation + funding rate not showing squeeze characteristics. Key levels: resistance at $65,176 (prior H) / support at $63,603 (prior L) plus the psychological round number at $64,500; the FGI stayed at 28 (Fear), with fear sentiment persisting. Macro focus shifts to next week's Jackson Hole symposium.

Key Data

  • BTC closing price: $63,984.29 at UTC 2026-07-30 00:00 and $64,790.00 at UTC 2026-07-30 24:00, up 1.24% over the window
  • Intraday range: high $65,176.60 / low $63,603.92, a $1,572.68 range (2.46%)
  • 24-hour total market volume: 17,132 BTC (approximately $1.105 billion)
  • Perpetual funding rate: four-period average +0.00869% (07-30 00:00 +0.00846% / 07-30 08:00 +0.00728% / 07-30 16:00 +0.00903% / 07-31 00:00 +0.01000%)
  • Taker buy/sell ratio: 24-hour average 1.1191, latest 0.9928
  • Retail long/short account ratio: 24-hour average 1.3865, latest 1.2538
  • Top-trader long/short position ratio: 24-hour average 1.5487, latest 1.4960
  • Open Interest (OI): 24-hour net change +2.15%, currently 106,596 BTC
  • Perpetual basis: stable within the -0.05% to +0.05% range
  • Fear & Greed Index: 28 on 2026-07-30 (Fear)

24H Price Review

  • Phase · Early session (UTC 00-06): open $63,984.29 → $64,033.89, +0.08%, 6h volume 4,028 BTC.
  • Phase · Late morning (UTC 06-12): open $64,033.90 → $64,788.00, +1.18%, 6h volume 6,146 BTC.
  • Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): open $64,788.01 → $64,872.00, +0.13%, 6h volume 4,805 BTC.
  • Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): open $64,871.99 → $64,780.02, -0.14%, 6h volume 2,153 BTC.

Macro Calendar

  • 🔴 2026-07-30 (Thu) · Federal Reserve Chair Press Conference (Powell) · Impact: High

Bull vs. Bear

  • Phase 4 (UTC 18-24) saw a single-stage 0.14% sell-off with 2,153 BTC in concentrated volume | Price touched the window low of $63,603.92, a typical pattern of concentrated selling triggered by negative news
  • OI rose a net 2.15% over 24 hours while price fell = active short accumulation | OI added 2,247 BTC while price fell 1.24%, textbook active short accumulation
  • The 2.46% range reflects intense bull-bear contention and high volatility | The 24-hour range reached a recent high of 2.46%; rising price volatility increases position risk
  • Phase 2 (UTC 06-12) delivered a single-stage 1.18% rebound on volume of 6,146 BTC | Price touched the window high of $65,176.60, a typical post-negative-event technical rebound pattern
  • Top-trader long/short ratio averaged 1.55 over 24 hours, indicating a mildly bullish institutional stance | The ratio averaged 1.55 and ended at 1.50, showing institutions maintained a mildly bullish stance throughout the window
  • Close at $64,780.02 held within the $63,603.92-$65,176.60 range | 24-hour price held within the window range without breaking the lower bound, short-term support intact

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