Bitcoin · 2026-09-10
That day's view: ①Data trend: Opened at 78,306 closed at 76,568, high 78,564 low 76,464, 24-hour close down 2.22%, solid bearish candle closing near intraday low, bears controlled at close. ②Volume: Traded 15,320 BTC, up 8.4% from previous day's 14,130 BTC, price drop with increased volume indicates selling pressure is not exhausted but actively increasing. ③Funding rate: Today's average +0.00541%, slightly down from previous day's +0.00557% but still positive, approximately 1.0× tier, no flip signs, long position holders still willing to pay premium but heat is marginally cooling. ④Open interest: Rose from 105,106 to 106,859, up 1.67%, combined with price drop and OI rise can be judged as (c-mix) bear-led accumulation dominant, not a healthy pullback, nor a squeeze. ⑤Greed index: 69, flatlined at 69 for three consecutive days (previous day 69, two days ago 69), under persistent greed background, volume selling with bearish candle requires vigilance for top divergence brewing. Comprehensive judgment: 76,000 is psychological + technical dual support, break below targets 75,000, upper resistance at 78,300 / 79,500; recommend watching tonight's CME close and ETF fund flow changes, if OI continues to rise while price fails to reclaim 77,000, bear structure will further strengthen.
Key Data
- BTC close: UTC 2026-09-10 00:00 at $78306.43, UTC 2026-09-10 24:00 at $76758.48, -2.22% within window
- Intraday range: High $78564.39 / Low $76464.00, range $2100.39 (2.68%)
- 24H all-network volume: 15,320 BTC (~$1.188B)
- Perpetual funding rate: 4-period average +0.00541% (09-10 00:00 +0.00356% / 09-10 08:00 +0.00787% / 09-10 16:00 +0.00720% / 09-11 00:00 +0.00301%)
- Taker buy/sell ratio: 24H average 0.9909, latest 0.7029
- Long/short account ratio (retail): 24H average 1.5060, latest 1.6008
- Whale position long/short ratio: 24H average 2.1736, latest 2.1224
- Open interest (OI): 24H net +1.67%, now at 106,859 BTC
- Perpetual basis: Stable within -0.05% to +0.05% range
- Fear & Greed Index: 2026-09-10 reading 69 (Neutral)
24H Market Recap
- Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): Opened $78306.43 → $78536.71, +0.29%, 6H volume 2,653 BTC.
- Phase · Morning-Afternoon (UTC 06-12): Opened $78536.71 → $77840.80, -0.89%, 6H volume 3,285 BTC.
- Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): Opened $77840.64 → $77328.72, -0.66%, 6H volume 7,206 BTC.
- Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): Opened $77328.72 → $76568.72, -0.98%, 6H volume 2,177 BTC.
Upcoming Macro Calendar
- 🔴 2026-09-11 (Fri) · US August Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
- 🔴 2026-09-16 (Wed) · Fed September Rate Decision · Impact: High
- 🔴 2026-09-17 (Thu) · Fed Chair Press Conference (Powell) · Impact: High
- 🟡 2026-09-25 (Fri) · BTC September Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
Long-Short Battle
- Phase 4 (UTC 18-24) single-phase sharp drop -0.98% + concentrated volume 2,177 BTC | Touched window low $76464.00, typical "negative news triggered concentrated selling pressure" pattern
- OI 24H net +1.67% price down OI up = active short positioning | OI increased by 1,753 BTC while price fell -2.22%, typical active short accumulation
- Active selling 24H average 0.9909 < 1.0 sell-side dominant | Taker sustained sell-side advantage, though late close 0.7029 buy-side returned, price failed to show effective rebound
- Phase 1 (UTC 00-06) single-phase bounce +0.29% + volume 2,653 BTC | Touched window high $78564.39, typical "technical bounce after negative news" pattern
- Whale position long/short ratio 24H average 2.17 institutional mildly bullish | Whale L/S 24H average 2.17 / late close 2.12, shows institutions maintaining mildly bullish stance within window
- Close at $76568.72 held within $76464.00-$78564.39 range | 24H price held within window range, did not break below lower boundary = short-term support valid