Bitcoin · 2026-10-01

That day's trend: Cautiously bullish

That day's view: BTC October 1st opened at $83623.59. Closed at $84880.05. Intraday +1.50%. Low $83186.00. High $85273.65. Volume 16766 BTC vs 7-day average 15340 BTC, expanded +9.3%. Funding four-tier rates 0.00798/0.00457/0.00698/0.00269 mid-section flip, terminal decay -66% bull-bear contest cooling. OI 95419→96931 MoM +1.58% slight increase. Retail long-short ratio 1.347→1.039 reduced longs -22.8%. Whales position 2.095→1.901 reduced longs -9.2%. Taker terminal 1.33 buy-side dominant. FGI 71→74 consecutive 3 days Greed zone rise +3. Signal is (c) short covering + short-term new long position variant. Key levels 84880→85273→83186. Watch tomorrow's NFP data release.

Key Data

BTC Closing Price: UTC 2026-10-01 00:00 reported $83623.59, UTC 2026-10-01 24:00 reported $84798.20, window +1.50%
Intraday Range: High $85273.65 / Low $83186.00, range $2087.65 (2.50%)
24H Total Network Volume: 16,766 BTC (~$1.41B)
Perpetual Funding Rate: 4-period average +0.00556% (10-01 00:00 +0.00798% / 10-01 08:00 +0.00457% / 10-01 16:00 +0.00698% / 10-02 00:00 +0.00269%)
Taker Buy/Sell Ratio: 24H average 0.9787, latest 1.3343
Long-Short Account Ratio (Retail): 24H average 1.2786, latest 1.0392
Whale Position Long-Short Ratio: 24H average 2.0119, latest 1.9007
Open Interest (OI): 24H net +1.58%, currently 96,931 BTC
Perpetual Basis: Stable in -0.05% to +0.05% range
Fear & Greed Index: 2026-10-01 reported 74 (Neutral)

24H Market Recap

Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): Opened $83623.59 → $84291.48, +0.80%, 6H volume 2,417 BTC.
Phase · Late Morning (UTC 06-12): Opened $84291.49 → $83905.76, -0.46%, 6H volume 4,872 BTC.
Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): Opened $83905.76 → $84908.01, +1.19%, 6H volume 6,701 BTC.
Phase · Closing (UTC 18-24): Opened $84908.00 → $84880.05, -0.03%, 6H volume 2,776 BTC.

Upcoming Macro Calendar

🔴 2026-10-02 (Fri) · US September Non-Farm Payroll Report (NFP) · Impact: High
🔴 2026-10-13 (Tue) · US September Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
🟡 2026-10-15 (Thu) · US September Producer Price Index (PPI) · Impact: Medium
🟡 2026-10-23 (Fri) · BTC October Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
🔴 2026-10-28 (Wed) · Fed October Interest Rate Decision · Impact: High
🔴 2026-10-29 (Thu) · Fed Chair Press Conference (Waller) · Impact: High

Bull-Bear Contest

Phase 2 (UTC 06-12) single-phase sharp drop -0.46% + concentrated volume 4,872 BTC | Touched window low $83186.00, typical "sell-off triggered by negative event" pattern
OI 24H net +1.58% price down OI up = shorts actively accumulating | OI increased +1,512 BTC while price dropped +1.50%, typical active short accumulation
Active selling 24H average 0.9787 < 1.0 sell-side dominant | Taker consistently sell-side dominant, though late session 1.3343 buy-side returned but price showed no effective rebound
Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase rebound +1.19% + volume 6,701 BTC | Touched window high $85273.65, typical "technical rebound after negative event" pattern
Whale position long-short ratio 24H average 2.01 institutions mildly bullish | Whale L/S 24H average 2.01 / late session 1.90, showing institutions maintained mildly bullish stance within window
Active buy-side late session 1.3343 > 1.0 buy-side returned | Late session taker buy-side returned, showing market has buy support near $83186.00