Bitcoin · 2026-10-09

That day's trend: Neutral leaning bullish

That day's view: Oct 9 BTC: O/C/H/L=81754.46/82635.55/83528.98/81603.52, closed +1.08%; Volume 12,302 coins -23.6% vs 7d contraction; FundingRate mid-section flipped cold→late-section hot rebound +5.232bp, P157 State 5 late-section hot rebound variant; OI -0.51% slight decrease, taker late-section 1.085 buyer dominated weak buying; Top_acc_ls 2.003→1.545 large account level -22.86% reduce long, top_pos_ls -2.06% position slight decrease, divergence -20.80%=P163-B catch the knife reversal caution strongest signal; Short-term label=(c) short covering + weak buying, mechanism active + large account caution; Regime=P154-3 (a) same-direction slightly strong day + both volume contracting + P163-B dual symbol account level large reduction divergence reversal caution; FGI 64→59 -5 Greed cooling, slightly strong but stability questionable; 10/13 CPI+10/28 FOMC(Walsh)+10/23 Deribit options expiry.

Key Data

BTC closing price: UTC 2026-10-09 00:00 reported $81754.46, UTC 2026-10-09 24:00 reported $82569.75, within window +1.08%
Intraday range: high $83528.98 / low $81603.52, range $1925.46 (2.36%)
24h all-network volume: 12,302 BTC (~$1.016B)
Perpetual funding rate: 4-period average +0.00336% (10-09 00:00 +0.00177% / 10-09 08:00 +0.00516% / 10-09 16:00 +0.00129% / 10-10 00:00 +0.00523%)
Active taker buy/sell ratio: 24h average 1.0994, latest 1.0855
Long/short account ratio (retail): 24h average 1.6465, latest 1.4839
Whale position long/short ratio: 24h average 1.5918, latest 1.6132
Open Interest (OI): 24h net -0.51%, currently 92,529 BTC
Perpetual basis: stable within -0.05% to +0.05% range
Fear & Greed Index: 2026-10-09 reported 59 (Neutral)

24H Market Recap

Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): open $81754.46 → $82352.39, +0.73%, 6h volume 2,936 BTC
Phase · Late morning (UTC 06-12): open $82352.39 → $83246.82, +1.09%, 6h volume 3,178 BTC
Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): open $83246.82 → $82717.85, -0.64%, 6h volume 3,541 BTC
Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): open $82717.85 → $82635.55, -0.10%, 6h volume 2,647 BTC

Upcoming Macro Calendar

🔴 2026-10-13 (Tue) · US September Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
🟡 2026-10-15 (Thu) · US September Producer Price Index (PPI) · Impact: Medium
🟡 2026-10-23 (Fri) · BTC October options expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
🔴 2026-10-28 (Wed) · Federal Reserve October rate decision · Impact: High
🔴 2026-10-29 (Thu) · Fed Chair press conference (Walsh) · Impact: High

Long/Short Game

Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase sharp drop -0.64% + concentrated volume 3,541 BTC | touched window low $81603.52, typical "negative event triggered concentrated selling pressure" pattern
OI 24h net -0.51% near neutral | OI net -475 BTC, capital not significantly departing but not actively building positions either
Range 2.36% high volatility reflects intense long/short battle | 24h range 2.36% hits recent high, price volatility rising = position risk increasing
Phase 2 (UTC 06-12) single-phase rebound +1.09% + volume 3,178 BTC | touched window high $83528.98, typical "technical rebound after negative event" pattern
Whale position long/short ratio 24h average 1.59 institutions mildly bullish | Whale L/S 24h average 1.59 / end 1.61, showing institutions maintaining mildly bullish stance within window
Active buying at end 1.0855 > 1.0 buying returns | End-of-session taker buying returned, showing market has buying support near $81603.52