Bitcoin · 2026-10-14

That day's trend: Neutral leaning bearish

That day's view: BTC closed at $81,682 on 10/14, down 1.79% (open $83,169, high $84,146, low $81,444), continuing the post-10/13 rally momentum cooling with a pullback. Volume at 18,308 was up 31.4% vs 7d average of 13,933, showing increased volume. Funding 4-period -1.0→+1.5→-1.8→-4.1bp with a brief mid-period positive flip before the final leg collapsed -3.7x magnitude, textbook (c) passive short covering in the final period. Large accounts +38.5% accumulated longs vs positions +1.4% steady direction showing significant divergence (P163-B signal strongest reversal caution) + retail L/S +37.3% chasing longs + taker late 1.11 strong buy. FGI single day 57→62 +5 Greed slightly warmer. (c) Capital rotation day + BTC weak alpha funds rotating to ETH strong beta + 10/15 PPI + 10/28 FOMC ahead cross-asset downgrading to wait-and-see + caution on large account level accumulation vs steady positions for subsequent direction selection.

Key Data

BTC Closing Price: UTC 2026-10-14 00:00 reported $83,169.01, UTC 2026-10-14 24:00 reported $81,752.01, within window -1.79%
Intraday Range: High $84,146.72 / Low $81,444.42, Range $2,702.30 (3.25%)
24-Hour Full Network Volume: 18,308 BTC (~$1.513B)
Perpetual Funding Rate: 4-period average -0.00135% (10-14 00:00 -0.00102% / 10-14 08:00 +0.00153% / 10-14 16:00 -0.00179% / 10-15 00:00 -0.00413%)
Active Buyer/Seller Ratio: 24-hour average 0.9667, latest 1.1084
Long/Short Account Ratio (Retail): 24-hour average 1.4689, latest 1.7716
Large Account Position Long/Short Ratio: 24-hour average 1.5219, latest 1.5373
Open Interest (OI): 24h net +0.67%, currently reported 93,117 BTC
Perpetual Basis: Stable within -0.05% to +0.05% range
Fear & Greed Index: Reported 62 (Neutral) on 2026-10-14

24H Market Recap

Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): Open $83,169.01 → $83,466.04, +0.36%, 6h volume 2,810 BTC.
Phase · Late Morning/Afternoon (UTC 06-12): Open $83,466.04 → $83,465.94, -0.00%, 6h volume 3,623 BTC.
Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): Open $83,465.94 → $81,587.10, -2.25%, 6h volume 8,621 BTC.
Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): Open $81,587.10 → $81,682.01, +0.12%, 6h volume 3,254 BTC.

Future Macro Calendar

🟡 2026-10-15 (Thu) · US September Producer Price Index (PPI) · Impact: Medium
🟡 2026-10-23 (Fri) · BTC October Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
🔴 2026-10-28 (Wed) · Fed October Rate Decision · Impact: High
🔴 2026-10-29 (Thu) · Fed Chair Press Conference (Walsh) · Impact: High

Long/Short Game

Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase sharp drop -2.25% + concentrated volume 8,621 BTC | Touched window low $81,444.42, typical "concentrated selling pressure triggered by negative event" pattern
OI 24h net +0.67% near neutral | OI net +617 BTC, funds not clearly exiting but also not actively building positions
Active selling 24h average 0.9667 < 1.0 sell-dominated | Taker sustained sell-side advantage, though late 1.1084 buy return but price showed no effective rebound
Phase 1 (UTC 00-06) single-phase rebound +0.36% + volume 2,810 BTC | Touched window high $84,146.72, typical "technical rebound after negative event" pattern
Large account position long/short ratio 24h average 1.52 institutional mildly bullish | Large account L/S 24h average 1.52 / late 1.54, showing institutions maintained mildly bullish stance within window
Active buying late 1.1084 > 1.0 buy return | Late taker buy return, showing market has buying support near $81,444.42