Bitcoin · 2026-10-18

That day's trend: Neutral leaning bullish

That day's view: BTC 10/18 (Open 81491 High 82295 Low 80684 Close 82116) 24h +0.77%, intraday V-shaped washout. Volume 10,098 BTC, -27.8% vs 7-day average, significantly contracted; buy/sell activity declining. Funding 4-period monotone decline +0.641→+0.496 (-22.7%), all positive but late stage cooling, corresponding to (c) short covering weakness passive variant. OI -1.21% significant unwinding, top_pos -0.63% flat, top_acc -1.31% slight decline, retail +1.00%, taker late -4.49% weak sell-side dominated, large players bi-tier flat watching, retail slight accumulation but lacking active buy uptake. FGI 55→53 (-2) cross-level return to Neutral, short-term sentiment continues cooling. 10/23 Deribit options expiry (T+5) + 10/28 FOMC (T+10) to dominate subsequent volatility.

Key Data

BTC Close: UTC 2026-10-18 00:00 at $81,491.04, UTC 2026-10-18 24:00 at $82,192.65, +0.77% in window
Intraday Range: High $82,295.47 / Low $80,684.36, range $1,611.11 (1.98%)
24h Whole-Network Volume: 10,098 BTC (~$823M)
Perpetual Funding Rate: 4-period average +0.00581% (10-18 00:00 +0.00641% / 10-18 08:00 +0.00603% / 10-18 16:00 +0.00584% / 10-19 00:00 +0.00496%)
Active Buyer/Seller Ratio: 24h average 1.1428, latest 1.3358
Long/Short Account Ratio (Retail): 24h average 1.7394, latest 1.7655
Large Player Position Long/Short Ratio: 24h average 1.7685, latest 1.7659
Open Interest (OI): 24h net -1.21%, now 93,131 BTC
Perpetual Basis: Stable in -0.05% to +0.05% range
Fear & Greed Index: 2026-10-18 at 53 (Neutral)

24H Market Recap

Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): Open $81,491.04 → $81,734.46, +0.30%, 6h volume 2,011 BTC.
Phase · Late Morning (UTC 06-12): Open $81,734.46 → $82,069.72, +0.41%, 6h volume 1,858 BTC.
Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): Open $82,069.73 → $81,193.87, -1.07%, 6h volume 2,694 BTC.
Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): Open $81,193.87 → $82,116.00, +1.14%, 6h volume 3,535 BTC.

Upcoming Macro Calendar

🟡 2026-10-23 (Friday) · BTC October Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
🔴 2026-10-28 (Wednesday) · Fed October Rate Decision · Impact: High
🔴 2026-10-29 (Thursday) · Fed Chair Press Conference (Walsh) · Impact: High

Long/Short Game

Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single phase sharp drop -1.07% + concentrated volume 2,694 BTC | Touched window low $80,684.36, typical "concentrated selling pressure triggered by negative event" pattern
OI 24h net -1.21% simultaneous deleveraging | OI net -1,137 BTC reduction, both longs and shorts actively reducing positions, typical deleveraging state
1.98% range high volatility reflecting intense long/short battle | 24h range 1.98% hitting recent high, price volatility rising = position risk increasing
Phase 4 (UTC 18-24) single phase rebound +1.14% + volume 3,535 BTC | Touched window high $82,295.47, typical "technical rebound after negative event" pattern
Large player position long/short ratio 24h average 1.77, institutions mildly bullish | Large player L/S 24h average 1.77 / end 1.77, showing institutions maintained mildly bullish stance during window
Active buying pressure at end 1.3358 > 1.0, buying returns | End taker buying returns, showing market has buy support near $80,684.36