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Ethereum · 2026-06-21

That day's trend: Cautiously bearish

That day's view: ETH closed 6/21 at $1,706, down 1.96% intraday, reversing the +1.75% gain from 6/20 and posting a 1.28x move vs BTC's -1.53% on the same day — high-beta weakness continues, marking the 9th case of negative ETH/BTC beta in this period. Volume contracted to 123,762 ETH from 175,830 ETH on 6/20, a -30% drop that signals deteriorating liquidity. The perpetual funding rate sits at +0.00253%, lifted from +0.00175% on 6/20 and still in long-crowded territory; Open Interest fell marginally from 2,226,973 to 2,226,112 ETH, a -0.04% move that is essentially flat. The combination of falling price + flat OI + rising funding is the signature of (c) Long Unwind — whale long-closing layered with funding easing, in contrast to BTC's (c-mix). The ETH funding backdrop carries a stronger cautionary signal than BTC's. FGI 23 Extreme Fear persists.

Key Data

  • ETH closing price: opened UTC 2026-06-21 00:00 at $1,741.08, closed UTC 2026-06-21 24:00 at $1,726.95 — window -1.96%
  • Intraday range: high $1,741.45 / low $1,702.00, range $39.45 (2.27%)
  • 24-hour total network volume: 123,762 ETH (~$214M)
  • Perpetual funding rate: 4-period average +0.00253% (06-21 00:00 +0.00289% / 06-21 08:00 +0.00260% / 06-21 16:00 +0.00076% / 06-22 00:00 +0.00388%)
  • Taker buy/sell ratio: 24h average 1.0508, latest 0.9143
  • Retail long/short account ratio: 24h average 2.0975, latest 2.1260
  • Top-trader long/short position ratio: 24h average 1.5065, latest 1.4775
  • Open Interest (OI): 24h net -0.04%, currently 2,226,112 ETH
  • Perpetual basis: stable in the -0.05% to +0.05% band
  • Fear & Greed Index: 2026-06-21 print 23 (Extreme Fear)

24H Price Review

  • Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): open $1,741.08 → $1,733.47, -0.44%, 6h volume 18,517 ETH.
  • Phase · Late morning (UTC 06-12): open $1,733.46 → $1,725.36, -0.47%, 6h volume 31,727 ETH.
  • Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): open $1,725.37 → $1,727.36, +0.12%, 6h volume 29,266 ETH.
  • Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): open $1,727.37 → $1,706.94, -1.18%, 6h volume 44,252 ETH.

Macro Calendar

  • 🟡 2026-06-23 (Tue) · U.S. May ISM Services Index · Impact: Medium
  • 🟡 2026-06-27 (Sat) · U.S. May ISM Manufacturing Index · Impact: Medium
  • 🟡 2026-06-27 (Sat) · U.S. May Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) · Impact: Medium
  • 🔴 2026-06-29 (Mon) · U.S. May CPI (YoY / MoM) · Impact: High
  • 🟡 2026-06-30 (Tue) · Repayment window for creditors of defunct Mt. Gox exchange · Impact: Medium
  • 🟡 2026-07-01 (Wed) · Continued BTC selling risk from Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) · Impact: Medium
  • 🔴 2026-07-04 (Sat) · FOMC rate decision (minutes released next day) · Impact: High
  • 🔴 2026-07-05 (Sun) · Federal Reserve Chair press conference · Impact: High

Bull vs. Bear

  • Phase 4 (UTC 18-24) single-stage sell-off of -1.18% with volume concentrated at 44,252 ETH | printed the window low of $1,702.00 — classic 'event-driven concentrated selling' pattern
  • OI 24h net -0.04% — close to neutral | OI net -861 ETH; capital has neither clearly withdrawn nor actively built new positions
  • FGI 23 Extreme Fear — sentiment fragile | still in Extreme Fear since 5/31, retail L/S 2.10 is heavily long-skewed = contrarian bearish signal; further downside could trigger cascading retail stop-loss selling
  • Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-stage rebound of +0.12% with volume of 29,266 ETH | printed the window high of $1,741.45 — classic 'post-event technical rebound' pattern
  • Top-trader long/short position ratio 24h average 1.51 — institutions mildly long | whale L/S 24h average 1.51 / late session 1.48, showing institutions maintained a mildly bullish stance through the window
  • Taker buy pressure late session 0.9143 > 1.0 — buy side returning | taker buy flow returning in the late session alongside the closing-stage rebound, signaling buyers stepping in after the bottom

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