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Ethereum · 2026-07-11

That day's trend: Neutral leaning bearish

That day's view: ETH closed 7/11 at $1,785.41 (-0.51%) with intraday range 2.42% (high $1,830.00 / low $1,786.58). Volume 178,703 ETH, down ~6% versus 7/10. Open Interest rose +1.51% over 24h to 2,311,259 ETH, signaling fresh short accumulation. Funding rate held mildly positive at +0.00355% four-period mean (about 0.72x BTC's level). Taker buy/sell ratio 24h mean 0.9419 < 1.0 (sell-side dominant), latest 0.7939 — buy-side returned in the close but failed to drive price rebound. Retail long/short 24h mean 1.6768 strongly bullish-leaning; top-trader L/S mean 1.4080 mildly bullish. Fear & Greed Index 26 sustained fear aligns with the broader crypto pullback. Pattern classification: (c₁). Price pullback combined with rising OI indicates fresh shorts are in control, while funding staying only mildly positive suggests short-squeeze pressure is weak. Major-player intent diverges from BTC (BTC deleveraging vs ETH adding shorts). Key levels: $1,786 support / $1,830 resistance. A break below $1,786 on rising volume would warrant caution. Watch the same macro window as BTC: 7/14 PPI, 7/15 CPI, 7/22 BTC options expiry.

Key Data

  • ETH close: UTC 2026-07-11 00:00 = $1,796.85, UTC 2026-07-11 24:00 = $1,785.41, window -0.51%
  • Intraday range: high $1,830.00 / low $1,786.58, amplitude $43.42 (2.42%)
  • 24h total volume: 178,703 ETH (~$323M)
  • Perp funding: 4-period mean +0.00355% (07-11 00:00 +0.00505% / 07-11 08:00 +0.00219% / 07-11 16:00 +0.00630% / 07-12 00:00 +0.00065%)
  • Taker buy/sell ratio: 24h mean 0.9419, latest 0.7939
  • Retail long/short ratio: 24h mean 1.6768, latest 1.6681
  • Top-trader long/short ratio: 24h mean 1.4080, latest 1.3425
  • Open Interest: 24h net +1.51%, now 2,311,259 ETH
  • Perp basis: stable in -0.05% to +0.05% band
  • Fear & Greed Index: 2026-07-11 = 26 (Fear)

24H Price Review

  • Stage · Early (UTC 00-06): open $1,796.85 → $1,799.45, +0.14%, 6h volume 24,706 ETH
  • Stage · Mid-morning (UTC 06-12): open $1,799.44 → $1,800.48, +0.06%, 6h volume 27,912 ETH
  • Stage · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): open $1,800.47 → $1,824.73, +1.35%, 6h volume 74,046 ETH
  • Stage · Closing (UTC 18-24): open $1,824.72 → $1,787.76, -2.03%, 6h volume 52,039 ETH

Macro Calendar

  • 🟡 2026-07-14 (Tue) · US June Producer Price Index (PPI) · Impact: Medium
  • 🔴 2026-07-15 (Wed) · US June Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
  • 🟡 2026-07-22 (Wed) · BTC July options expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium

Bull vs. Bear

  • Stage 4 (UTC 18-24) sharp drop -2.03% + concentrated 52,039 ETH volume | touched window low $1,786.58, a textbook short-event-driven concentrated-sell pattern
  • OI 24h net +1.51% price down OI up = active short accumulation | OI rose +34,308 ETH while price fell -0.51%, textbook active short accumulation
  • Taker sell-side 24h mean 0.9419 < 1.0 sell dominance | taker persistently sell-side dominant, although late-window 0.7939 buy-side return failed to produce an effective rebound
  • Stage 3 (UTC 12-18) rebound +1.35% + 74,046 ETH volume | touched window high $1,830.00, a textbook post-event technical rebound
  • Top-trader L/S 24h mean 1.41 institutional mildly bullish | top-trader L/S mean 1.41 / close 1.34, institutions held a mildly bullish stance through the window
  • Close at $1,787.76 held the $1,786.58-$1,830.00 band | 24h price stayed within the window range, did not break the lower edge — short-term support holds

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