Ethereum · 2026-07-15

That day's trend: Neutral leaning bullish

That day's view: ETH closed 7/15 at $1,917.86 (+1.37%), opening $1,891.87, high $1,946.52 with an upper wick that tested the level and was rejected, low $1,864.38, with 319,801 ETH volume showing mild expansion; OI fell from 2,453,526 to 2,398,072 (-2.26%), funding +0.00548% healthy and slightly positive, FGI 25 (extreme fear) sustained. ETH reversed direction versus BTC's mild -0.44% dip; against c-mix main-force de-positioning, ETH saw afternoon capital inflow with price rising on rising volume, and Stage 3 single-segment +2.30% dominated the session. The 6-dimension weighted score is +0.37 with 0.63 confidence, signaling mildly bullish sideways action. Key drivers: Stage 3 single-segment rally +2.30% + top-trader L/S rising 1.26 → 1.35 (mildly bullish). Resistance $1,946 / support $1,864; pullbacks that hold support preserve the mildly bullish structure. Watch tonight's CPI and next week's FOMC for risk-asset linkage.

Key Data

ETH Close: UTC 2026-07-15 00:00 $1,891.87, UTC 2026-07-15 24:00 $1,920.92, window change +1.37%
Intraday Range: High $1,946.52 / Low $1,864.38, range $82.14 (4.34%)
24h Network-wide Volume: 319,801 ETH (~$0.610B)
Perpetual Funding Rate: 4-period mean +0.00548% (07-15 00:00 +0.00383% / 07-15 08:00 +0.00501% / 07-15 16:00 +0.00874% / 07-16 00:00 +0.00435%)
Taker Buy/Sell Ratio: 24h mean 1.0158, latest 0.8591
Retail Long/Short Account Ratio: 24h mean 1.5277, latest 1.5407
Top-Trader Long/Short Ratio: 24h mean 1.2648, latest 1.3532
Open Interest (OI): 24h net -2.26%, now 2,398,072 ETH
Perpetual Basis: stable in -0.05% to +0.05% range
Fear & Greed Index: 2026-07-15 reading 25 (Fear)

24H Price Review

Stage · Early (UTC 00-06): Open $1,891.87 → $1,882.68, -0.49%, 6h volume 46,519 ETH.
Stage · Early-Afternoon (UTC 06-12): Open $1,882.69 → $1,884.62, +0.10%, 6h volume 60,055 ETH.
Stage · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): Open $1,884.62 → $1,927.94, +2.30%, 6h volume 169,154 ETH.
Stage · Close (UTC 18-24): Open $1,927.93 → $1,917.86, -0.52%, 6h volume 44,073 ETH.

Macro Calendar

🔴 2026-07-15 (Wed) · U.S. June CPI (YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
🟡 2026-07-22 (Wed) · BTC July Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
🟡 2026-07-28 (Tue) · U.S. June Durable Goods Orders · Impact: Medium
🔴 2026-07-29 (Wed) · Federal Reserve July Interest Rate Decision · Impact: High

Bull vs. Bear

Stage 4 (UTC 18-24) single-segment sharp drop -0.52% + volume concentrated at 44,073 ETH | Touched window low $1,864.38, typical "news-triggered concentrated selling pressure" pattern
OI 24h net -2.26% two-way de-leveraging | OI down 55,454 ETH, longs and shorts actively reducing, typical de-leveraging state
Range 4.34% high volatility reflects intense bull-bear contest | 24h range 4.34% hit a recent high, rising price volatility = higher position-holding risk
Stage 3 (UTC 12-18) single-segment rebound +2.30% + volume 169,154 ETH | Touched window high $1,946.52, typical "post-event technical rebound" pattern
Top-trader L/S 24h mean 1.26 — institutions mildly bullish | 24h mean 1.26 / end-of-window 1.35, shows institutions maintained a mildly bullish stance through the window
Close $1,917.86 held the $1,864.38-$1,946.52 range | 24h price stayed inside the window range, no break below the lower bound = short-term support intact