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Ethereum · 2026-10-01

That day's trend: Cautiously bullish

That day's view: ETH opened at $2686.01 on Oct 1. Closed at $2706.42. Intraday +0.76%. Low $2673.13. High $2722.00. Volume 263,392 ETH, +13.7% above 7-day average of 231,579 ETH. Funding four-tier rates 0.00569/0.00724/0.00341/0.00479, mid-session flipped, tail rebounded +40%, short-term new longs taking delivery. OI 2,284,146→2,291,456, +0.32% slight increase. Retail long/short ratio 2.715→2.579, reduced longs -5%. Whale positions 1.671→1.503, reduced longs -10%. Taker tail 1.03 slight buying. FGI 74 flat in Greed zone. Signal (c-mix) short covering + short-term new long building. Key levels 2706.42→2722→2673. Watch tomorrow's NFP data release.

Key Data

  • ETH closing price: UTC 2026-10-01 00:00 reported $2686.01, UTC 2026-10-01 24:00 reported $2703.82, +0.76% within the window
  • Intraday range: High $2722.00 / Low $2673.13, range $48.87 (1.82%)
  • 24-hour full network trading volume: 263,392 ETH (approximately $709M)
  • Perpetual contract funding rate: four-period average +0.00528% (10-01 00:00 +0.00569% / 10-01 08:00 +0.00724% / 10-01 16:00 +0.00341% / 10-02 00:00 +0.00479%)
  • Active buyer/seller ratio: 24-hour average 1.0092, latest 1.0261
  • Long/short account ratio (retail): 24-hour average 2.6531, latest 2.5791
  • Whale position long/short ratio: 24-hour average 1.5523, latest 1.5029
  • Open Interest (OI): 24h net +0.32%, currently reported 2,291,456 ETH
  • Perpetual basis: stable between -0.05% and +0.05% range
  • Fear & Greed Index: 2026-10-01 reported 74 (Neutral)

24H Market Recap

  • Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): Opened $2686.01 → $2717.96, +1.19%, 6h volume 41,440 ETH.
  • Phase · Late Morning (UTC 06-12): Opened $2717.96 → $2706.56, -0.42%, 6h volume 85,828 ETH.
  • Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): Opened $2706.56 → $2701.05, -0.20%, 6h volume 101,857 ETH.
  • Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): Opened $2701.05 → $2706.42, +0.20%, 6h volume 34,267 ETH.

Upcoming Macro Calendar

  • 🔴 2026-10-02 (Friday) · US September Non-Farm Payrolls Report (NFP) · Impact: High
  • 🔴 2026-10-13 (Tuesday) · US September Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
  • 🟡 2026-10-15 (Thursday) · US September Producer Price Index (PPI) · Impact: Medium
  • 🟡 2026-10-23 (Friday) · BTC October Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
  • 🔴 2026-10-28 (Wednesday) · Fed October Rate Decision · Impact: High
  • 🔴 2026-10-29 (Thursday) · Fed Chair Press Conference (Walsh) · Impact: High

Long/Short Battle

  • Phase 2 (UTC 06-12) single-phase sharp drop -0.42% + concentrated volume 85,828 ETH | Hit window low $2673.13, typical "sell-off triggered by bearish event" pattern
  • OI 24h net +0.32% near neutral | OI net +7,310 ETH, funds not significantly leaving but not actively building positions
  • Amplitude 1.82% high volatility reflects intense long/short battle | 24h amplitude 1.82% hit recent high, price volatility rising = position risk increasing
  • Phase 1 (UTC 00-06) single-phase rally +1.19% + volume 41,440 ETH | Hit window high $2722.00, typical "technical rebound after bearish event" pattern
  • Whale position long/short ratio 24h average 1.55, institutions mildly bullish | Whale L/S 24h average 1.55 / close 1.50, showing institutions maintained mildly bullish stance during the window
  • Active buying at close 1.0261 > 1.0, buying pressure returns | Taker buying returned at close, showing market has buying support near $2673.13

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