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Ethereum · 2026-10-06

That day's trend: Neutral leaning bullish

That day's view: Oct 6 ETH opened at 2709.99 and closed at 2697.49; narrow range oscillation with a slight decline of 0.46% throughout the day; high 2725.13 low 2683.73 with a $41 intraday range. Volume 231,675 ETH, down 5.8% vs 7-day average, basically flat. Funding four tiers from +1.605bp to -2.085bp mid-session cold flip; then to +5.651bp to +9.228bp late-session hot rebound at 5.7x magnitude. OI slightly increased 1.50% to 2.31M contracts; at the post-dellveraging small recovery stage. Taker late-session 0.559 sell-side dominated; large account long/short ratio surged from 1.403 to 1.536, approximately +9.49%; large holder L/S ratio slightly decreased 1.44%; retail L/S ratio rose from 2.495 to 2.682, chasing longs approximately 7.5%. Overall signal is (b)squeeze mid-to-late variant: funding mid-session cold flip + late-session hot rebound 5.7x + OI slight increase + large account significant long accumulation resonance; short-term funds actively taking delivery with strength; forming a capital rotation day with BTC (funds rotating from BTC to ETH). FGI 73 unchanged from yesterday; key levels 2725 resistance and 2683 support; next key events Oct 13 CPI and Oct 28 FOMC.

Key Data

  • ETH closing price: UTC 2026-10-06 00:00 reported $2709.99, UTC 2026-10-06 24:00 reported $2696.22, -0.46% within window
  • Intraday range: high $2725.13 / low $2683.73, range $41.40 (1.53%)
  • 24h whole-network volume: 231,675 ETH (~$626M)
  • Perpetual funding rate: 4-period average +0.00360% (10-06 00:00 +0.00161% / 10-06 08:00 -0.00209% / 10-06 16:00 +0.00565% / 10-07 00:00 +0.00923%)
  • Active taker buy/sell ratio: 24h average 0.9396, latest 0.5594
  • Long/short account ratio (retail): 24h average 2.5257, latest 2.6819
  • Large holder L/S ratio: 24h average 1.6188, latest 1.6413
  • Open interest (OI): 24h net +1.50%, currently 2,313,637 ETH
  • Perpetual basis: stable within -0.05% to +0.05% range
  • Fear & Greed Index: 2026-10-06 reported 73 (Neutral)

24H Market Recap

  • Phase · Early session (UTC 00-06): opened $2709.99 → $2699.56, -0.38%, 6h volume 26,057 ETH
  • Phase · Late morning (UTC 06-12): opened $2699.57 → $2714.09, +0.54%, 6h volume 55,967 ETH
  • Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): opened $2714.09 → $2699.28, -0.55%, 6h volume 97,075 ETH
  • Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): opened $2699.29 → $2697.49, -0.07%, 6h volume 52,577 ETH

Upcoming Macro Calendar

  • 🔴 2026-10-13 (Tue) · US September Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
  • 🟡 2026-10-15 (Thu) · US September Producer Price Index (PPI) · Impact: Medium
  • 🟡 2026-10-23 (Fri) · BTC October options expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
  • 🔴 2026-10-28 (Wed) · Fed October rate decision · Impact: High
  • 🔴 2026-10-29 (Thu) · Fed Chair press conference (Wash) · Impact: High

Long/Short Game

  • Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase sharp drop -0.55% + concentrated volume 97,075 ETH | Touched window low $2683.73, typical "selloff triggered by bearish event" pattern
  • OI 24h net +1.50% price down OI up = shorts actively building | OI increased +34,080 ETH while price fell -0.46%, typical active short accumulation
  • Active selling 24h average 0.9396 < 1.0 sell-side dominated | Taker persistently sell-side dominant, although late-session 0.5594 buy-side returned price failed to show effective rebound
  • Phase 2 (UTC 06-12) single-phase rebound +0.54% + volume 55,967 ETH | Touched window high $2725.13, typical "technical rebound after bearish event" pattern
  • Large holder L/S ratio 24h average 1.62 institutions mildly bullish | Large account L/S 24h average 1.62 / late-session 1.64, showing institutions maintained mildly bullish stance within window
  • Close at $2697.49 holding $2683.73-$2725.13 range | 24h price held within window range, did not break below lower boundary = short-term support valid

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