Ethereum · 2026-10-09

That day's trend: Neutral leaning bullish

That day's view: Oct 09 ETH: O/C/H/L=2474.88/2487.70/2520.54/2471.05, close +0.52%; Volume 171,815 ETH down -38.7% WoW, hitting recent low; Funding Rate mid-phase flipped cold→hot late +5.576bp, P157 Phase 5 squeeze mid-late variant; OI +0.35% slight increase, taker late 0.980 seller slightly dominant; Top_acc_ls 2.562→2.151 large account level -16.07% reduced longs, top_pos_ls +3.61% accumulated longs, divergence -19.69%=P163-B knife-catching reversal caution strongest signal; Short-term label=(b)squeeze mid-late variant, mechanism active + P163-B caution; Regime=P154-3 (a) same-direction strong day + both volumes shrinking + P163-B dual-symbol account-level large reduction divergence reversal caution; FGI 64→59 -5 Greed cooling, strong but stability questionable; 10/13 CPI+10/28 FOMC(Walsh)+10/23 Deribit options expiry.

Key Data

ETH closing price: UTC 2026-10-09 00:00 reported $2,474.88, UTC 2026-10-09 24:00 reported $2,486.75, +0.52% within window
Intraday range: High $2,520.54 / Low $2,471.05, range $49.49 (2.00%)
24h whole-network volume: 171,815 ETH (~$428M)
Perpetual funding rate: 4-period average +0.00113% (10-09 00:00 -0.00144% / 10-09 08:00 -0.00116% / 10-09 16:00 +0.00154% / 10-10 00:00 +0.00558%)
Active taker buy/sell ratio: 24h average 1.0699, latest 0.9799
Long/short account ratio (retail): 24h average 3.0526, latest 3.0032
Large account position long/short ratio: 24h average 1.6837, latest 1.7542
Open Interest (OI): 24h net +0.35%, currently reported at 2,343,498 ETH
Perpetual basis: stable in -0.05% to +0.05% range
Fear & Greed Index: 59 on 2026-10-09 (Neutral)

24H Market Recap

Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): Open $2,474.88 → $2,491.18, +0.66%, 6h volume 41,363 ETH.
Phase · Late Morning (UTC 06-12): Open $2,491.18 → $2,506.61, +0.62%, 6h volume 53,657 ETH.
Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): Open $2,506.61 → $2,488.42, -0.73%, 6h volume 51,950 ETH.
Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): Open $2,488.43 → $2,487.70, -0.03%, 6h volume 24,846 ETH.

Upcoming Macro Calendar

🔴 2026-10-13 (Tue) · US September Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
🟡 2026-10-15 (Thu) · US September Producer Price Index (PPI) · Impact: Medium
🟡 2026-10-23 (Fri) · BTC October options expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
🔴 2026-10-28 (Wed) · US Fed October rate decision · Impact: High
🔴 2026-10-29 (Thu) · Fed Chair press conference (Walsh) · Impact: High

Long/Short Battle

Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase sharp drop -0.73% + concentrated volume 51,950 ETH | Touched window low $2,471.05, typical "selloff triggered by negative event" pattern
OI 24h net +0.35% near neutral | OI net +8,161 ETH, funds not significantly departing but not aggressively building positions
2.00% volatility reflects intense long/short battle | 24h range 2.00% hits recent high, price volatility rising = position risk increasing
Phase 1 (UTC 00-06) single-phase rebound +0.66% + volume 41,363 ETH | Touched window high $2,520.54, typical "technical rebound after negative event" pattern
Large account position long/short ratio 24h average 1.68, institutions mildly bullish | Large L/S 24h average 1.68 / late 1.75, showing institutions maintained mildly bullish stance within window
Close at $2,487.70 holds $2,471.05-$2,520.54 range | 24h price held within window range, didn't break below lower boundary = short-term support valid