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Ethereum · 2026-10-13

That day's trend: Cautiously bullish

That day's view: ETH closed at 2498 on 10/13, up 2.08% (open 2447, high 2539, low 2409), continuing the rebound after the sharp drop on 10/12 but with divergent momentum. Volume of 261,690 was down 1.7% from the 7-day average of 266,349, essentially flat. Funding 4 periods +0.006→+0.084→+0.032→+0.032 bp, mid-section surged hot, end section stable without decline (c)active rebound end section. OI -0.31% slight de-leveraging, large account positions +4.3% steady slight increase vs accounts -17.9% sharply decreasing, directional divergence (divergence reversal signal strongest) + retail L/S -12.3% reducing longs + taker end section 0.57 buy volume shrinking. FGI single day 57 cooling in sync with BTC. (c)Same-direction weak day + 10/13 CPI landing T+0 + positions vs accounts divergence, be vigilant for short-term direction selection + ETH active rebound end section characteristics.

Key Data

  • ETH closing price: UTC 2026-10-13 00:00 reported $2447.16, UTC 2026-10-13 24:00 reported $2506.72, within window +2.08%
  • Intraday range: High $2538.52 / Low $2409.09, range $129.43 (5.29%)
  • 24h whole network volume: 261,690 ETH (approximately $653M)
  • Perpetual contract funding rate: four-period average +0.00384% (10-13 00:00 +0.00064% / 10-13 08:00 +0.00838% / 10-13 16:00 +0.00315% / 10-14 00:00 +0.00318%)
  • Active buyer/seller ratio: 24h average 1.0127, latest 0.5691
  • Long/short account ratio (retail): 24h average 2.7281, latest 2.6590
  • Large account position long/short ratio: 24h average 1.5767, latest 1.5778
  • Open interest (OI): 24h net -0.31%, current 2,270,359 ETH
  • Perpetual basis: stable within -0.05% to +0.05% range
  • Fear Greed Index: 2026-10-13 reported 57 (Neutral)

24H Market Review

  • Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): Open $2447.16 → $2531.69, +3.45%, 6h volume 112,075 ETH.
  • Phase · Early afternoon (UTC 06-12): Open $2531.69 → $2500.86, -1.22%, 6h volume 77,764 ETH.
  • Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): Open $2500.85 → $2501.12, +0.01%, 6h volume 49,494 ETH.
  • Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): Open $2501.13 → $2497.95, -0.13%, 6h volume 22,358 ETH.

Future Macro Calendar

  • 🔴 2026-10-13 (Tuesday) · US September Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
  • 🟡 2026-10-15 (Thursday) · US September Producer Price Index (PPI) · Impact: Medium
  • 🟡 2026-10-23 (Friday) · BTC October Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
  • 🔴 2026-10-28 (Wednesday) · Fed October Interest Rate Decision · Impact: High
  • 🔴 2026-10-29 (Thursday) · Fed Chair Press Conference (Walsh) · Impact: High

Multi-Player Game

  • Phase 2 (UTC 06-12) single phase sharp drop -1.22% + concentrated trading 77,764 ETH | touched window low $2409.09, typical "concentrated selling pressure triggered by bearish event" pattern
  • OI 24h net -0.31% near neutral | OI net -6,948 ETH, funds not significantly withdrawn but also not actively building positions
  • Range 5.29% high volatility reflects fierce multi-player game | 24h range 5.29% hit recent new high, price volatility rising = position risk increasing
  • Phase 1 (UTC 00-06) single phase rebound +3.45% + trading 112,075 ETH | touched window high $2538.52, typical "technical rebound after bearish event" pattern
  • Large account position long/short ratio 24h average 1.58, institutional lightly bullish | Large account L/S 24h average 1.58 / end 1.58, showing institutions maintained lightly bullish stance within window
  • Close at $2497.95 held within $2409.09-$2538.52 range | 24h price held within window range, didn't break below lower boundary = short-term support effective

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