Bitcoin · 2026-08-18

Tendencia del día: Neutral inclinando alcista

Vista del día: BTC closed at $64,725 on 8/18 (+0.30%), ranging 64,027-65,058, with volume of 11,790 BTC contracting -17.3% vs 8/17. Funding at +0.00386% remained marginally positive with all four tenors weakening (0.0052% to 0.0016%); OI edged down -0.12%; the retail long/short ratio fell from 1.484 to 1.378 as retail follow-through faded; major players showed a (c-mix) reducing-position pattern. FGI at 41 marked a fourth consecutive day of Fear but recovered +12 cumulatively from 29 on 8/14 — sentiment is repairing. Overall assessment: a weak rebound driven by short covering on shrinking volume, with funding drifting lower and OI slightly down; support at 64,027, resistance at 65,058. Watch whether FGI can break the 50 neutral line and tonight's U.S. CPI release.

Key Data

BTC close: $64,532.11 at UTC 2026-08-18 00:00, $64,650.76 at UTC 2026-08-18 24:00, +0.30% over the window
Intraday range: high $65,058.81 / low $64,027.85, amplitude $1,030.96 (1.60%)
24h global volume: 11,790 BTC (about $759M)
Perpetual funding rate: 4-period avg +0.00386% (08-18 00:00 +0.00516% / 08-18 08:00 +0.00502% / 08-18 16:00 +0.00365% / 08-19 00:00 +0.00162%)
Taker buy/sell ratio: 24h avg 1.0417, latest 1.0673
Long/short account ratio (retail): 24h avg 1.4563, latest 1.3776
Whale long/short position ratio: 24h avg 1.4675, latest 1.4342
Open interest (OI): 24h net -0.12%, now 106,273 BTC
Perpetual basis: stable in -0.05% to +0.05% range
Fear & Greed Index: 41 (Fear) on 2026-08-18

24H Price Review

Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): $64,532.11 -> $64,242.76, -0.45%, 6h volume 3,794 BTC.
Phase · Mid-morning (UTC 06-12): $64,242.76 -> $64,351.19, +0.17%, 6h volume 2,291 BTC.
Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): $64,351.18 -> $64,670.02, +0.50%, 6h volume 4,506 BTC.
Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): $64,670.02 -> $64,725.42, +0.09%, 6h volume 1,198 BTC.

Macro Calendar

🟡 2026-08-19 (Wed) · U.S. July Retail Sales (MoM) · Impact: Medium
🟡 2026-08-26 (Wed) · U.S. August Consumer Confidence Index · Impact: Medium
🟡 2026-08-28 (Fri) · BTC August Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
🔴 2026-09-01 (Tue) · U.S. August ISM Manufacturing Index · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-04 (Fri) · U.S. August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-11 (Fri) · U.S. August Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-16 (Wed) · Fed September Rate Decision · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-17 (Thu) · Fed Chair Press Conference (Powell) · Impact: High

Bull vs. Bear

Phase 1 (UTC 00-06) sharp single-phase sell-off -0.45% with concentrated volume of 3,794 BTC | Tapped window low $64,027.85 — classic "concentrated selling pressure triggered by negative news" pattern
OI 24h net -0.12%, near neutral | OI net -124 BTC; funds neither exiting significantly nor actively building positions
1.60% amplitude signals intense long-short battle | 24h amplitude 1.60% hit a recent high; rising price volatility = higher position risk
Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase rebound +0.50% with volume of 4,506 BTC | Tapped window high $65,058.81 — classic "technical rebound after negative news" pattern
Whale long/short ratio 24h avg 1.47 — institutions mildly bullish | Whale L/S 24h avg 1.47 / late-session 1.43, showing institutions maintained a mildly bullish stance through the window
Late-session taker buy ratio 1.0673 > 1.0 — buying pressure returning | Late-session taker buying returned, showing buy-side support near $64,027.85