Bitcoin · 2026-08-21

Tendencia del día: Alcista cauteloso

Vista del día: BTC closed 8/21 at $78,338 (+7.27%), range 73,027-79,500; volume 44,340 BTC, +23.5% vs 8/20, price-volume expansion aligned; funding mildly positive +0.0077% (vs +0.0085% on 8/20, slightly cooled), OI dropped -1.42% (107,625 → 106,095), major players deleveraged while retail chased long; classified as (c) short-covering driven rebound, not major-player active long build; FGI three-day climb 46 → 62 → 72 (Greed); key levels: 79,500 resistance / 78,000 loss-warning, watch US 8/22 Jackson Hole Powell remarks.

Key Data

BTC closing price: UTC 2026-08-21 00:00 at $73,027.02, UTC 2026-08-21 24:00 at $77,980.00, +7.27% within window
Intraday range: high $79,500.00 / low $73,027.02, range $6,472.98 (8.86%)
24-hour total network volume: 44,340 BTC (~$3.405B)
Perpetual funding rate: 4-period mean +0.00769% (08-21 00:00 +0.00496% / 08-21 08:00 +0.00581% / 08-21 16:00 +0.01000% / 08-22 00:00 +0.01000%)
Taker buy/sell ratio: 24h mean 1.0471, latest 0.8737
Retail long/short account ratio: 24h mean 1.0294, latest 1.0387
Top-trader long/short ratio: 24h mean 1.8995, latest 1.9597
Open Interest (OI): 24h net -1.42%, currently 106,095 BTC
Perpetual basis: stable in -0.05% to +0.05% range
Fear & Greed Index: 2026-08-21 reading 72 (Neutral)

24H Price Review

Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): open $73,027.02 → $75,472.73, +3.35%, 6h volume 9,813 BTC.
Phase · Early-Afternoon (UTC 06-12): open $75,472.73 → $76,722.32, +1.66%, 6h volume 17,683 BTC.
Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): open $76,722.31 → $77,392.68, +0.87%, 6h volume 10,342 BTC.
Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): open $77,392.69 → $78,338.03, +1.22%, 6h volume 6,501 BTC.

Macro Calendar

🟡 2026-08-26 (Wed) · US August Consumer Confidence Index · Impact: Medium
🟡 2026-08-28 (Fri) · BTC August Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
🔴 2026-09-01 (Tue) · US August ISM Manufacturing Index · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-04 (Fri) · US August Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-11 (Fri) · US August CPI (Year-over-Year / Month-over-Month) · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-16 (Wed) · Fed September Rate Decision · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-17 (Thu) · Fed Chair Press Conference (Powell) · Impact: High

Bull vs. Bear

Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase sell-off +0.87% + concentrated volume 10,342 BTC | touched window low $73,027.02, classic "bearish-event triggered concentrated selling pressure" pattern
OI 24h net -1.42% synchronized long-short deleveraging | OI net -1,530 BTC decrease, both sides actively reducing positions, classic deleveraging state
Range 8.86% high volatility reflects intense bull-bear tug-of-war | 24h range 8.86% hits recent high, price volatility rising = position risk increased
Phase 1 (UTC 00-06) single-phase rebound +3.35% + volume 9,813 BTC | touched window high $79,500.00, classic "post-bearish-event technical rebound" pattern
Top-trader L/S 24h mean 1.90 institutions mildly bullish | top-trader L/S 24h mean 1.90 / close 1.96, showing institutions maintained mildly bullish stance within window
close at $78,338.03 held $73,027.02-$79,500.00 range | 24h price held within window range, did not break lower bound = short-term support effective