Ethereum · 2026-08-31

Tendencia del día: Alcista cauteloso

Vista del día: ETH bounced strongly yesterday, with O 2,416.89 / C 2,467.65 / H 2,489.95 / L 2,401.35 and a 24h change of +2.10%. The intraday range was similar to BTC's but with a stronger directional bias; price tagged the $2,401 area before stepping back up through the day and reclaiming $2,460 into the close. Volume of 265,222 ETH (about $650 million) was essentially flat versus the prior day's 268,298 — volume didn't expand dramatically but was sufficient to support the rebound. Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) rebounded +1.19% to the $2,489.95 high; Phase 4 (UTC 18-24) gave back -0.31% and the daily gain held. Funding stayed neutral at +0.00483%; taker buy/sell averaged 1.0051 (near balanced), but the latest 0.7928 print showed sellers returning; OI rose +1.40% on 24h with longs building exposure. Retail L/S averaged 2.4938 — still crowded long — though it cooled to 2.2971 into the close, a flag to watch. FGI eased from 69 (prior) to 62 (Neutral). Composite view: ETH is the near-term outperformer but crowded longs and elevated realized volatility warrant caution; resistance $2,500 – $2,550, support $2,400 – $2,380. A high-volume break above $2,500 would confirm a trend reversal, while a low-volume retest of $2,400 would risk a bull trap.

Key Data

ETH Closing Price: UTC 2026-08-31 00:00 reported $2,416.89, UTC 2026-08-31 24:00 reported $2,467.56, +2.10% within the window
Intraday Range: High $2,489.95 / Low $2,401.35, range $88.60 (3.67%)
24h Total Network Volume: 265,222 ETH (approximately $650 million)
Perpetual Funding Rate: 4-period average +0.00483% (08-31 00:00 +0.00236% / 08-31 08:00 +0.00352% / 08-31 16:00 +0.00770% / 09-01 00:00 +0.00572%)
Taker Buy/Sell Ratio: 24h average 1.0051, latest 0.7928
Retail Long/Short Account Ratio: 24h average 2.4938, latest 2.2971
Top Trader Long/Short Ratio: 24h average 1.5962, latest 1.5933
Open Interest (OI): 24h net +1.40%, currently 2,346,352 ETH
Perpetual Basis: Stable within the -0.05% to +0.05% range
Fear & Greed Index: 2026-08-31 reading 62 (Neutral)

24H Price Review

Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): Open $2,416.89 → $2,435.99, +0.79%, 6h volume 75,660 ETH.
Phase · Mid-Morning (UTC 06-12): Open $2,436.00 → $2,446.35, +0.42%, 6h volume 56,379 ETH.
Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): Open $2,446.36 → $2,475.42, +1.19%, 6h volume 87,995 ETH.
Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): Open $2,475.41 → $2,467.65, -0.31%, 6h volume 45,189 ETH.

Macro Calendar

🔴 2026-09-01 (Tue) · US August ISM Manufacturing PMI · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-04 (Fri) · US August Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-11 (Fri) · US August Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-16 (Wed) · Fed September Interest Rate Decision · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-17 (Thu) · Fed Chair Press Conference (Powell) · Impact: High
🟡 2026-09-25 (Fri) · BTC September Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium

Bull vs. Bear

Phase 4 (UTC 18-24) single-phase drop of -0.31% with concentrated volume of 45,189 ETH | Touched window low $2,401.35, a textbook concentrated-selloff pattern triggered by negative catalysts
OI 24h net +1.40% with price falling while OI rose = shorts actively building | OI added 32,410 ETH while price fell +2.10%, textbook active short accumulation
Range of 3.67% elevated volatility reflects intense bull/bear contest | 24h range 3.67% hit a recent high, rising volatility = increased position risk
Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase rebound of +1.19% with 87,995 ETH volume | Touched window high $2,489.95, a textbook technical rebound following negative catalysts
Top Trader Long/Short 24h average 1.60 — institutions mildly bullish | Top L/S 24h avg 1.60 / close 1.59, institutions held a mildly bullish stance through the window
Close $2,467.65 defended the $2,401.35-$2,489.95 range | 24h price held inside the window range without breaking the lower bound = short-term support effective