Bitcoin · 2026-09-04

उस दिन का रुझान: तटस्थ से मंदी की ओर

उस दिन का दृष्टिकोण: BTC closed yesterday with a bearish session: open $81,270.37, high $81,427.75, low $78,660.00, close $79,660.77, a -1.98% move over 24 hours with an intraday range of roughly 3.4%. Volume of 19,199 BTC contracted modestly versus the prior day, with no expansion in sell-side flow, pointing to rangebound digestion rather than a clean trend break. The funding rate averaged +0.00513%, stepping down from +0.0094% the prior day (about 0.5x), staying mildly positive and easing the long-side carry burden. Open Interest fell from 112,718 to 107,913 BTC (-4.26%), shrinking in lockstep with price — a textbook (c) mild long de-leveraging pullback with orderly volume-price behavior. FGI held at 74 (Greed) with no extreme reading. Composite view: short-term bias is bearish but orderly; watch the $78,000–$78,500 support band and the $81,000 upside resistance; next week's US CPI and labor-market prints are the key variables, and a second leg lower into Greed is the risk to monitor.

Key Data

BTC Closing Price: UTC 2026-09-04 00:00 reported $81,270.37, UTC 2026-09-04 24:00 reported $79,641.02, -1.98% within the window
Intraday Range: High $81,427.75 / Low $78,660.00, range $2,767.75 (3.41%)
24h Total Network Volume: 19,199 BTC (approximately $1.538 billion)
Perpetual Funding Rate: 4-period average +0.00513% (09-04 00:00 +0.00856% / 09-04 08:00 +0.00650% / 09-04 16:00 +0.00445% / 09-05 00:00 +0.00101%)
Taker Buy/Sell Ratio: 24h average 1.0077, latest 0.8749
Retail Long/Short Account Ratio: 24h average 0.9062, latest 1.0165
Top Trader Long/Short Ratio: 24h average 2.0573, latest 2.1587
Open Interest (OI): 24h net -4.26%, currently 107,913 BTC
Perpetual Basis: Stable within the -0.05% to +0.05% range
Fear & Greed Index: 2026-09-04 reading 74 (Neutral)

24H Price Review

Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): Open $81,270.37 → $80,996.15, -0.34%, 6h volume 3,303 BTC.
Phase · Mid-Morning (UTC 06-12): Open $80,996.15 → $81,224.86, +0.28%, 6h volume 3,860 BTC.
Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): Open $81,224.86 → $79,472.22, -2.16%, 6h volume 9,831 BTC.
Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): Open $79,472.22 → $79,660.77, +0.24%, 6h volume 2,205 BTC.

Macro Calendar

🔴 2026-09-04 (Fri) · US August Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-11 (Fri) · US August Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-16 (Wed) · Fed September Interest Rate Decision · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-17 (Thu) · Fed Chair Press Conference (Powell) · Impact: High
🟡 2026-09-25 (Fri) · BTC September Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium

Bull vs. Bear

Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase drop of -2.16% with concentrated volume of 9,831 BTC | Touched window low $78,660.00, a textbook concentrated-selloff pattern triggered by negative catalysts
OI 24h net -4.26% with both sides de-leveraging | OI shed 4,805 BTC, both longs and shorts actively reduced exposure — textbook de-leveraging
Range 3.41% elevated volatility reflects intense two-sided battle | 24h range 3.41% hit a recent high, rising volatility = rising holding risk
Phase 2 (UTC 06-12) single-phase rebound of +0.28% with 3,860 BTC volume | Touched window high $81,427.75, a textbook technical rebound following negative catalysts
Top Trader Long/Short 24h average 2.06 — institutions mildly bullish | Top L/S 24h avg 2.06 / close 2.16, institutions held a mildly bullish stance through the window
Close $79,660.77 held within the $78,660.00–$81,427.75 range | 24h price stayed inside the window range without breaking the lower edge = near-term support intact