Ethereum · 2026-10-11
उस दिन का दृष्टिकोण: 10/11 ETH Open 2507 Close 2537 High 2555 Low 2498 Daily +1.21%. Volume 200k ETH vs 7d 265k -24.6%, moderate contraction. Funding 4 sessions -0.0118% → +0.0015% flipped mid-session + slight positive at end, same pattern as BTC but absolutely colder. OI -1.65% large decline + taker 1.16 weak buy at end + top_pos -3.73% major holder position large decline + top_acc -5.97% same direction = (c) passive rebound end stage (P150-1). BTC major holders steady vs ETH major holders large decline = ETH weaker and deeper (P167-2). Pre-10/13 CPI double (c) same signal + major holder deleveraging, be alert to ETH weakness amplification.
Key Data
- ETH Closing Price: UTC 2026-10-11 00:00 reported $2506.52, UTC 2026-10-11 24:00 reported $2536.82, +1.21% within window
- Intraday Range: High $2555.22 / Low $2497.85, Range $57.37 (2.29%)
- 24H All-Network Trading Volume: 200,031 ETH (~$504M)
- Perpetual Funding Rate: 4-period average -0.00519% (10-11 00:00 -0.01175% / 10-11 08:00 -0.01166% / 10-11 16:00 +0.00116% / 10-12 00:00 +0.00148%)
- Active Taker Buy/Sell Ratio: 24H average 0.9393, latest 1.1646
- Long/Short Account Ratio (retail): 24H average 2.9313, latest 2.8730
- Major Holder Position Long/Short Ratio: 24H average 1.5573, latest 1.5403
- Open Interest (OI): 24H net -1.65%, currently reported 2,303,432 ETH
- Perpetual Basis: Stable within -0.05% to +0.05% range
- Fear & Greed Index: Reported 61 (Neutral) on 2026-10-11
24H Market Recap
- Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): Open $2506.52 → $2504.63, -0.08%, 6H volume 45,705 ETH.
- Phase · Late Morning (UTC 06-12): Open $2504.63 → $2506.58, +0.08%, 6H volume 41,052 ETH.
- Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): Open $2506.58 → $2538.41, +1.27%, 6H volume 70,355 ETH.
- Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): Open $2538.40 → $2536.94, -0.06%, 6H volume 42,919 ETH.
Upcoming Macro Calendar
- 🔴 2026-10-13 (Tuesday) · US September Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
- 🟡 2026-10-15 (Thursday) · US September Producer Price Index (PPI) · Impact: Medium
- 🟡 2026-10-23 (Friday) · BTC October Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
- 🔴 2026-10-28 (Wednesday) · Fed October Rate Decision · Impact: High
- 🔴 2026-10-29 (Thursday) · Fed Chair Press Conference (Walsh) · Impact: High
Long/Short Game Analysis
- Phase 1 (UTC 00-06) single-phase sharp drop -0.08% + concentrated volume 45,705 ETH | Touched window low $2497.85, typical "concentrated selling triggered by bearish events" pattern
- OI 24H net -1.65% both long and short deleveraging simultaneously | OI net -38,733 ETH reduction, both long and short sides actively reducing positions, typical deleveraging state
- Active selling 24H average 0.9393 < 1.0 sell-dominated | Taker consistently seller-advantaged, though tail end 1.1646 buy-side returned but price failed to show effective rebound
- Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase rebound +1.27% + volume 70,355 ETH | Touched window high $2555.22, typical "technical rebound after bearish events" pattern
- Major holder position long/short ratio 24H average 1.56 institutional mildly bullish | Major holder L/S 24H average 1.56 / tail end 1.54, showing institutions maintained mildly bullish stance within window
- Active buying at tail end 1.1646 > 1.0 buying returned | Taker buying returned at tail end, showing market has buying support near $2497.85