Ethereum · 2026-08-14
当日の見解：ETH 8/14 closed at $1882.20 (-0.21%), , intraday narrow oscillation at 1,864-1,891, , Volume 108,124 ETH vs 8/13 (154,141) significantly volume contracted -29.85%, , OI slightly down -0.11% (basically flat 2.34M contracts), funding +0.00196% (8/13 +0.00559%, declined about -65%), still mildly positive but already near zero line. Comprehensive assessment main force (c): volume shrinking bearish drift + OI slightly down + funding flat = short adding willingness weak, main force peripheral reducing, partial short covering taking profit. BTC volume up + OI up vs ETH volume contracted + OI down, volume + OI double inverse, , pattern divergence significant (this round 13th case). follow-up watch tonight FOMC minutes and ETH/BTC rate (0.0299 vs 8/13 0.0297 slight depreciation), if funding breaks below 0% then short-dominant risk escalates; , loss of 1,864 low or further probe 1,820-1,850, key resistance 1,891（FGI 29 sustained Fear fifth day）.
Key Data
- ETH Close: UTC 2026-08-14 00:00 at $1886.16, UTC 2026-08-14 24:00 at $1881.77, -0.21% within window
- Intraday range: high $1891.30 / low $1864.28, amplitude $27.02 (1.43%)
- 24h on-chain volume: 108,124 ETH (~$ 2.0300M USD)
- Perp funding rate: 4-period mean +0.00196%（08-14 00:00 +0.00270% / 08-14 08:00 -0.00067% / 08-14 16:00 +0.00069% / 08-15 00:00 +0.00513%）
- Taker buy/sell ratio: 24h mean 0.9844, latest 1.1963
- Retail long/short ratio: 24h mean 2.5754, latest 2.5971
- Top trader long/short ratio: 24h mean 1.3473, latest 1.3755
- Open Interest (OI): 24h net -0.11%, now at 2,339,798 ETH
- Perp basis: stable within -0.05% to +0.05% range
- Fear & Greed Index: 2026-08-14 at 29 (Fear)
24H Price Review
- Phase: Early Session (UTC 00-06): open $1886.16 → $1884.07, -0.11%, 6h volume 16,816 ETH.
- Phase: Late Morning (UTC 06-12): open $1884.07 → $1878.20, -0.31%, 6h volume 32,776 ETH.
- Phase: Afternoon (UTC 12-18): open $1878.20 → $1878.57, +0.02%, 6h volume 41,972 ETH.
- Phase: Closing (UTC 18-24): open $1878.57 → $1882.20, +0.19%, 6h volume 16,560 ETH.
Bull vs. Bear
- Phase 2 (UTC 06-12) single-phase dump -0.31% + concentrated volume 32,776 ETH | touched window low $1864.28, typical "news-driven sell pressure" pattern
- OI 24h net -0.11% near neutral | OI net -2,647 ETH, no clear capital exit nor aggressive build-up
- Active sell pressure 24h mean 0.9844 < 1.0 sell-dominant | Taker continuously sell-side dominant, , although close 1.1963 buy-side returning but price showed no effective rebound
- Phase 4 (UTC 18-24) single-phase rebound +0.19% + volume 16,560 ETH | touched window high $1891.30, typical "technical rebound after sell-off" pattern
- Top trader L/S 24h mean 1.35 institutions mildly bullish | top L/S 24h mean 1.35 / close 1.38, institutions maintained mildly bullish stance in window
- Taker buy at close 1.1963 > 1.0 buy-side returning | close taker buy-side returning, shows market near $1864.28 has buy support