Ethereum · 2026-09-02
当日の見解：ETH opened 2026-09-02 at $2,418.58 and closed at $2,391.92, a -1.10% session. Intraday volatility ran materially higher than BTC's: price tagged the $2,429.00 high before fading and probing the $2,356.41 low — roughly a 3% range in a single session — and the day traced out a fade-from-high structure. Volume of 285,610 ETH (~$684 million) expanded alongside the move, with sell pressure fairly well worked through. Funding collapsed to +0.00484% — effectively zero — as long leverage stepped aside. Open interest fell from 2,326,810 to 2,308,400 (-0.79%) as price drifted lower: a textbook (c) short-covering-driven passive selloff, where the size of the drop did not require aggressive short accumulation and bids remained willing under the market. The Fear & Greed Index pulled back to 63 — out of Greed back to Neutral — structure is weak but sentiment has not tipped into fear — and we characterize the action as a continuation/consolidation digesting the prior rally. Key levels: $2,410 – $2,430 is the first intraday rebound resistance, with a clean break above $2,430 needed to flip the bias; $2,380 – $2,360 is the first downside support, and a break of $2,360 opens further weakness. Watch this week's dense cluster of high-impact US releases (NFP / CPI / FOMC). ETH's relative weakness versus BTC may persist — fade rallies rather than chase them.
Key Data
- ETH Closing Price: UTC 2026-09-02 00:00 reported $2,418.58, UTC 2026-09-02 24:00 reported $2,392.45, -1.10% within the window
- Intraday Range: High $2,429.00 / Low $2,356.41, range $72.59 (3.00%)
- 24h Total Network Volume: 285,610 ETH (approximately $684 million)
- Perpetual Funding Rate: 4-period average +0.00484% (09-02 00:00 +0.00009% / 09-02 08:00 +0.00510% / 09-02 16:00 +0.00518% / 09-03 00:00 +0.00897%)
- Taker Buy/Sell Ratio: 24h average 1.0252, latest 1.5119
- Retail Long/Short Account Ratio: 24h average 2.7523, latest 2.7523
- Top Trader Long/Short Ratio: 24h average 1.5212, latest 1.5795
- Open Interest (OI): 24h net -0.79%, currently 2,308,400 ETH
- Perpetual Basis: Stable within the -0.05% to +0.05% range
- Fear & Greed Index: 2026-09-02 reading 63 (Neutral)
24H Price Review
- Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): Open $2,418.58 → $2,422.53, +0.16%, 6h volume 57,892 ETH.
- Phase · Mid-Morning (UTC 06-12): Open $2,422.53 → $2,381.88, -1.68%, 6h volume 95,203 ETH.
- Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): Open $2,381.87 → $2,393.77, +0.50%, 6h volume 94,368 ETH.
- Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): Open $2,393.77 → $2,391.92, -0.08%, 6h volume 38,146 ETH.
Macro Calendar
- 🔴 2026-09-04 (Fri) · US August Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) · Impact: High
- 🔴 2026-09-11 (Fri) · US August Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
- 🔴 2026-09-16 (Wed) · Fed September Interest Rate Decision · Impact: High
- 🔴 2026-09-17 (Thu) · Fed Chair Press Conference (Powell) · Impact: High
- 🟡 2026-09-25 (Fri) · BTC September Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
Bull vs. Bear
- Phase 2 (UTC 06-12) single-phase drop of -1.68% with concentrated volume of 95,203 ETH | Touched window low $2,356.41, a textbook concentrated-selloff pattern triggered by negative catalysts
- OI 24h net -0.79% near neutral | OI shed 18,410 ETH; capital neither left nor built new exposure
- Range 3.00% elevated volatility reflects intense two-sided battle | 24h range 3.00% hit a recent high, rising volatility = rising holding risk
- Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase rebound of +0.50% with 94,368 ETH volume | Touched window high $2,429.00, a textbook technical rebound following negative catalysts
- Top Trader Long/Short 24h average 1.52 — institutions mildly bullish | Top L/S 24h avg 1.52 / close 1.58, institutions held a mildly bullish stance through the window
- Taker buy-side late print 1.5119 > 1.0 with buyers returning | Late-session taker buy flow returned, showing bids stepping in around the $2,356.41 area