Ethereum · 2026-09-05
当日の見解：ETH closed yesterday with a bullish candle: open $2,455.86, high $2,493.57, low $2,444.47, close $2,480.34, a +1.00% move over 24 hours with an intraday range of roughly 2.0%. Volume of 130,097 ETH was roughly flat versus the prior day — bullish momentum released gently without a volume surge. The funding rate averaged +0.00425%, staying mildly positive versus the prior day and keeping long-side carry manageable. Open Interest rose from 2,249,401 to 2,286,236 ETH (+1.64%); with price climbing and OI expanding in lockstep, the structure is a textbook (a) healthy uptrend with positive volume-price resonance. FGI held at 73 (Greed) with no extreme reading. Composite view: short-term bias is bullish with healthy structure; watch the $2,493 upside resistance and the $2,444 lower-edge support; next week's US CPI and FOMC are the key variables, and holding above $2,480 would leave room for further upside.
Key Data
- ETH Closing Price: UTC 2026-09-05 00:00 reported $2,455.86, UTC 2026-09-05 24:00 reported $2,479.97, +1.00% within the window
- Intraday Range: High $2,493.57 / Low $2,444.47, range $49.10 (2.00%)
- 24h Total Network Volume: 130,097 ETH (approximately $321 million)
- Perpetual Funding Rate: 4-period average +0.00425% (09-05 00:00 +0.00200% / 09-05 08:00 +0.00610% / 09-05 16:00 +0.00186% / 09-06 00:00 +0.00702%)
- Taker Buy/Sell Ratio: 24h average 1.0877, latest 1.0059
- Retail Long/Short Account Ratio: 24h average 2.6180, latest 2.6010
- Top Trader Long/Short Ratio: 24h average 1.7649, latest 1.7654
- Open Interest (OI): 24h net +1.64%, currently 2,286,236 ETH
- Perpetual Basis: Stable within the -0.05% to +0.05% range
- Fear & Greed Index: 2026-09-05 reading 73 (Neutral)
24H Price Review
- Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): Open $2,455.86 → $2,450.93, -0.20%, 6h volume 23,355 ETH.
- Phase · Mid-Morning (UTC 06-12): Open $2,450.93 → $2,453.67, +0.11%, 6h volume 25,438 ETH.
- Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): Open $2,453.67 → $2,481.01, +1.11%, 6h volume 50,253 ETH.
- Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): Open $2,481.01 → $2,480.34, -0.03%, 6h volume 31,050 ETH.
Macro Calendar
- 🔴 2026-09-11 (Fri) · US August Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
- 🔴 2026-09-16 (Wed) · Fed September Interest Rate Decision · Impact: High
- 🔴 2026-09-17 (Thu) · Fed Chair Press Conference (Powell) · Impact: High
- 🟡 2026-09-25 (Fri) · BTC September Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
Bull vs. Bear
- Phase 1 (UTC 00-06) single-phase drop of -0.20% with concentrated volume of 23,355 ETH | Touched window low $2,444.47, a textbook concentrated-selloff pattern triggered by negative catalysts
- OI 24h net +1.64% with price down + OI up = active short accumulation | OI rose 36,834 ETH while price fell 1.00%, classic active short accumulation
- Range 2.00% elevated volatility reflects intense two-sided battle | 24h range 2.00% hit a recent high, rising volatility = rising holding risk
- Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase rebound of +1.11% with 50,253 ETH volume | Touched window high $2,493.57, a textbook technical rebound following negative catalysts
- Top Trader Long/Short 24h average 1.76 — institutions mildly bullish | Top L/S 24h avg 1.76 / close 1.77, institutions held a mildly bullish stance through the window
- Taker buy flow close 1.0059 > 1.0 — buy-side returning | Close-of-window taker buy flow recovered, showing buy support near $2,444.47