Bitcoin · 2026-08-09
당일 관점: BTC 8/9 closed at $64902 (-0.09%), narrow range intraday (high/low 744 USD / 1.15%), showing typical stalemate pattern.Volume 7,031 BTC vs 8/8’s 5,760 expanded +22.1%，, but OI declined -0.16% (107,209->107,032),main force funding rate +0.00641% vs 8/8’s +0.0053% up 21%, with taker_bs plunged to 0.87 at close (sell pressure surging), main force releasing sell pressure overlapping with retail dip-buying stopped (retail_ls 1.16 longs-biased), overall pattern (c-mix) main force reducing/distributing + retail taking up.FGI 31 (Fear, 2-day rise from 29->30->31), market sentiment marginally improved but still in fear zone.Key resistance 65,475 (H), support 64,730 (L), breakout needs 6.50k hold with OI recovery, otherwise range-bound 64,000-65,500.Watch 8/12 CPI data (US ET 8:30) if exceeds could break 64,000.
Key Data
- BTC Close: UTC 2026-08-09 00:00 at $64962.60, UTC 2026-08-09 24:00 at $65034.14, -0.09% within window
- Intraday range: high $65474.46 / low $64730.08, amplitude $744.38 (1.15%)
- 24h on-chain volume: 7,031 BTC (~$ 4.5700M USD)
- Perp funding rate: 4-period mean +0.00641%（08-09 00:00 +0.00442% / 08-09 08:00 +0.00667% / 08-09 16:00 +0.00705% / 08-10 00:00 +0.00750%）
- Taker buy/sell ratio: 24h mean 1.0164, latest 0.8666
- Retail long/short ratio: 24h mean 1.1547, latest 1.1636
- Top trader long/short ratio: 24h mean 1.5563, latest 1.5401
- Open Interest (OI): 24h net -0.16%, now at 107,032 BTC
- Perp basis: stable within -0.05% to +0.05% range
- Fear & Greed Index: 2026-08-09 at 31 (Fear)
24H Price Review
- Phase: Early Session (UTC 00-06): open $64962.60 → $64801.58, -0.25%, 6h volume 1,305 BTC.
- Phase: Late Morning (UTC 06-12): open $64801.57 → $64950.00, +0.23%, 6h volume 1,433 BTC.
- Phase: Afternoon (UTC 12-18): open $64950.01 → $65198.68, +0.38%, 6h volume 1,638 BTC.
- Phase: Closing (UTC 18-24): open $65198.68 → $64901.59, -0.46%, 6h volume 2,655 BTC.
Bull vs. Bear
- Phase 4 (UTC 18-24) single-phase dump -0.46% + concentrated volume 2,655 BTC | touched window low $64730.08, typical "news-driven sell pressure" pattern
- OI 24h net -0.16% near neutral | OI net -176 BTC, no clear capital exit nor aggressive build-up
- Amplitude 1.15% high volatility reflects intense bull-bear fight | 24h amplitude 1.15% recent high, price volatility rising = positioning risk increased
- Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase rebound +0.38% + volume 1,638 BTC | touched window high $65474.46, typical "technical rebound after sell-off" pattern
- Top trader L/S 24h mean 1.56 institutions mildly bullish | top L/S 24h mean 1.56 / close 1.54, institutions maintained mildly bullish stance in window
- close $64901.59 held $64730.08-$65474.46 range | 24h price held within window range, did not break lower edge = short-term support valid