Bitcoin · 2026-08-22

당일 추세 판단: 중립 편 약세

당일 관점: BTC closed 8/22 at $77,074.93 (-1.61%), range 76,500-78,828; volume 18,525 BTC, -21.8% vs 8/21, volume contraction; funding flat +0.0100%, OI dropped -0.26% to 105,815; classified as (c-mix) volume-led decline + flat funding + mild OI drop = high-level digestion; FGI 71 (Greed 6th day) sentiment intact; key levels: 78,500 resistance / 75,500 support, watch 8/27 PCE.

Key Data

BTC closing price: UTC 2026-08-22 00:00 at $78,338.03, UTC 2026-08-22 24:00 at $77,141.53, -1.61% within window
Intraday range: high $78,828.15 / low $76,500.00, range $2,328.15 (2.97%)
24-hour total network volume: 18,525 BTC (~$1.435B)
Perpetual funding rate: 4-period mean +0.01000% (08-22 00:00 +0.01000% / 08-22 08:00 +0.01000% / 08-22 16:00 +0.01000% / 08-23 00:00 +0.01000%)
Taker buy/sell ratio: 24h mean 0.9819, latest 0.9597
Retail long/short account ratio: 24h mean 1.0156, latest 1.0072
Top-trader long/short ratio: 24h mean 2.0155, latest 2.0533
Open Interest (OI): 24h net -0.26%, currently 105,815 BTC
Perpetual basis: stable in -0.05% to +0.05% range
Fear & Greed Index: 2026-08-22 reading 71 (Neutral)

24H Price Review

Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): open $78,338.03 → $77,380.75, -1.22%, 6h volume 7,690 BTC.
Phase · Early-Afternoon (UTC 06-12): open $77,380.75 → $77,130.02, -0.32%, 6h volume 5,221 BTC.
Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): open $77,130.01 → $77,278.01, +0.19%, 6h volume 2,906 BTC.
Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): open $77,278.01 → $77,074.93, -0.26%, 6h volume 2,708 BTC.

Macro Calendar

🟡 2026-08-26 (Wed) · US August Consumer Confidence Index · Impact: Medium
🟡 2026-08-28 (Fri) · BTC August Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium
🔴 2026-09-01 (Tue) · US August ISM Manufacturing Index · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-04 (Fri) · US August Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-11 (Fri) · US August CPI (Year-over-Year / Month-over-Month) · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-16 (Wed) · Fed September Rate Decision · Impact: High
🔴 2026-09-17 (Thu) · Fed Chair Press Conference (Powell) · Impact: High

Bull vs. Bear

Phase 1 (UTC 00-06) single-phase sell-off -1.22% + concentrated volume 7,690 BTC | touched window low $76,500.00, classic "bearish-event triggered concentrated selling pressure" pattern
OI 24h net -0.26% near neutral | OI net -280 BTC, capital not visibly exiting but not actively building either
Taker sell pressure 24h mean 0.9819 < 1.0 seller-dominant | Taker persistently seller-favored, although late session 0.9597 buy-side returned price showed no effective rebound
Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase rebound +0.19% + volume 2,906 BTC | touched window high $78,828.15, classic "post-bearish-event technical rebound" pattern
Top-trader L/S 24h mean 2.02 institutions mildly bullish | top-trader L/S 24h mean 2.02 / close 2.05, showing institutions maintained mildly bullish stance within window
close at $77,074.93 held $76,500.00-$78,828.15 range | 24h price held within window range, did not break lower bound = short-term support effective