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Bitcoin · 2026-08-29

Тренд за день: Осторожно бычий

Взгляд за день: BTC closed yesterday at $78,230.00, with an intraday range of $77,382.37 – $78,330.00 and a modest gain of +0.49%. Volume of 7,016 BTC was down 64.5% from the prior day's 19,756 BTC, forming a textbook low-volume rebound structure with insufficient buying conviction. Funding rose from +0.00812% to +0.00957% (about 1.18x), continuing the long-pays regime without meaningful expansion. Open interest moved from 105,609 to 107,673, +1.95% — price up, volume down, OI up modestly, fitting a healthy rebound, though the volume divergence warrants caution. The Fear & Greed Index held at 68 (vs 73 prior) inside the greed zone but with sentiment cooling slightly. Composite view: short-term mildly bullish but momentum is weak; key resistance $78,500 – $80,000, support $77,300 – $76,500. Watch US PCE and Powell remarks this week; a decisive high-volume close above $78,500 could open higher, while a low-volume rally fading back would warrant trimming.

Key Data

  • BTC Closing Price: UTC 2026-08-29 00:00 reported $77,845.88, UTC 2026-08-29 24:00 reported $78,200.01, +0.49% within the window
  • Intraday Range: High $78,330.00 / Low $77,382.37, range $947.63 (1.22%)
  • 24h Total Network Volume: 7,016 BTC (approximately $546 million)
  • Perpetual Funding Rate: 4-period average +0.00957% (08-29 00:00 +0.01000% / 08-29 08:00 +0.01000% / 08-29 16:00 +0.01000% / 08-30 00:00 +0.00828%)
  • Taker Buy/Sell Ratio: 24h average 1.0429, latest 0.9830
  • Retail Long/Short Account Ratio: 24h average 1.1834, latest 1.1877
  • Top Trader Long/Short Ratio: 24h average 2.0826, latest 2.0826
  • Open Interest (OI): 24h net +1.95%, currently 107,673 BTC
  • Perpetual Basis: Stable within the -0.05% to +0.05% range
  • Fear & Greed Index: 2026-08-29 reading 68 (Neutral)

24H Price Review

  • Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): Open $77,845.88 → $77,632.53, -0.27%, 6h volume 1,589 BTC.
  • Phase · Mid-Morning (UTC 06-12): Open $77,632.52 → $77,584.67, -0.06%, 6h volume 2,231 BTC.
  • Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): Open $77,584.66 → $78,100.00, +0.66%, 6h volume 1,824 BTC.
  • Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): Open $78,099.99 → $78,230.00, +0.17%, 6h volume 1,373 BTC.

Macro Calendar

  • 🔴 2026-09-01 (Tue) · US August ISM Manufacturing PMI · Impact: High
  • 🔴 2026-09-04 (Fri) · US August Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) · Impact: High
  • 🔴 2026-09-11 (Fri) · US August Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
  • 🔴 2026-09-16 (Wed) · Fed September Interest Rate Decision · Impact: High
  • 🔴 2026-09-17 (Thu) · Fed Chair Press Conference (Powell) · Impact: High
  • 🟡 2026-09-25 (Fri) · BTC September Options Expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium

Bull vs. Bear

  • Phase 1 (UTC 00-06) single-phase drop of -0.27% with concentrated volume of 1,589 BTC | Touched window low $77,382.37, a textbook concentrated-selloff pattern triggered by negative catalysts
  • OI 24h net +1.95% with price falling and OI rising = active short accumulation | OI increased by 2,064 BTC while price dropped +0.49%, classic active short accumulation
  • Range of 1.22% elevated volatility reflects intense bull/bear contest | 24h range 1.22% hit a recent high, rising volatility = increased position risk
  • Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase rebound of +0.66% with 1,824 BTC volume | Touched window high $78,330.00, a textbook technical rebound following negative catalysts
  • Top Trader Long/Short 24h average 2.08 — institutions mildly bullish | Top L/S 24h avg 2.08 / close 2.08, institutions held a mildly bullish stance through the window
  • Close $78,230.00 defended the $77,382.37-$78,330.00 range | 24h price held inside the window range without breaking the lower bound = short-term support effective