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Ethereum · 2026-08-09

Тренд за день: Нейтральный с уклоном в медвежий

Взгляд за день: ETH 8/9 closed at $1911 (-0.32%)，loss magnified 3.5x vs BTC, low-beta weak oscillation.Volume 87,855 ETH vs 8/8’s 56,872 surged +54.5%，, but OI declined -0.54% (2,296K->2,284K), main force funding +0.00505% vs 8/8’s +0.00328% sharply up 54%, taker_bs at close 0.87 same sell pressure, with retail_ls 2.04 extreme retail long (vs BTC 1.16 retail more aggressive), pattern (c-mix) main force panic-distributing + retail buying stopped.BTC volume +22.1% vs ETH volume +54.5% (significant inverse 32pp difference, pattern divergence #2 volume split), ETH volume up but price down reflects heavier sell pressure.FGI 31 in sync with BTC sentiment marginal improvement.Key level 1,938 (H) / 1,908 (L), if lose 1,900 psychological level combined with ETH/BTC rate decline watch; watch 8/12 CPI data + 8/15 ETH upgrade catalyst.

Key Data

  • ETH Close: UTC 2026-08-09 00:00 at $1916.75, UTC 2026-08-09 24:00 at $1916.42, -0.32% within window
  • Intraday range: high $1938.22 / low $1907.56, amplitude $30.66 (1.60%)
  • 24h on-chain volume: 87,855 ETH (~$ 1.6900M USD)
  • Perp funding rate: 4-period mean +0.00505%（08-09 00:00 +0.00320% / 08-09 08:00 +0.00419% / 08-09 16:00 +0.00798% / 08-10 00:00 +0.00483%）
  • Taker buy/sell ratio: 24h mean 1.0114, latest 0.8743
  • Retail long/short ratio: 24h mean 2.0444, latest 2.0788
  • Top trader long/short ratio: 24h mean 1.3286, latest 1.3474
  • Open Interest (OI): 24h net -0.54%, now at 2,283,510 ETH
  • Perp basis: stable within -0.05% to +0.05% range
  • Fear & Greed Index: 2026-08-09 at 31 (Fear)

24H Price Review

  • Phase: Early Session (UTC 00-06): open $1916.75 → $1914.46, -0.12%, 6h volume 11,195 ETH.
  • Phase: Late Morning (UTC 06-12): open $1914.45 → $1919.23, +0.25%, 6h volume 23,062 ETH.
  • Phase: Afternoon (UTC 12-18): open $1919.23 → $1923.11, +0.20%, 6h volume 20,171 ETH.
  • Phase: Closing (UTC 18-24): open $1923.10 → $1910.65, -0.65%, 6h volume 33,428 ETH.

Bull vs. Bear

  • Phase 4 (UTC 18-24) single-phase dump -0.65% + concentrated volume 33,428 ETH | touched window low $1907.56, typical "news-driven sell pressure" pattern
  • OI 24h net -0.54% near neutral | OI net -12,337 ETH, no clear capital exit nor aggressive build-up
  • Amplitude 1.60% high volatility reflects intense bull-bear fight | 24h amplitude 1.60% recent high, price volatility rising = positioning risk increased
  • Phase 2 (UTC 06-12) single-phase rebound +0.25% + volume 23,062 ETH | touched window high $1938.22, typical "technical rebound after sell-off" pattern
  • Top trader L/S 24h mean 1.33 institutions mildly bullish | top L/S 24h mean 1.33 / close 1.35, institutions maintained mildly bullish stance in window
  • close $1910.65 held $1907.56-$1938.22 range | 24h price held within window range, did not break lower edge = short-term support valid