Bitcoin · 2026-06-28

That day's trend: Neutral leaning bearish

That day's view: BTC closed 6/28 at $59,577 (-0.75%), with a H/L range of $60,545/$58,905 and an intraday amplitude of 2.74%. Volume shrank -10.86% to 8,958 BTC from 10,049 on 6/27, reflecting heavy wait-and-see sentiment among major players. Funding averaged +0.00329% (16:00 peak +0.00443%) — longs still pay to hold, retail not panicking. OI ticked up +0.06% from 102,913 to 102,977; leverage steady, no cascade liquidations. FGI 18 stays in extreme fear, no bottom signal yet. Verdict (c) bear-dominated release: shrinking-volume grind + major-player wait-and-see + funding still positive + leverage flat = controlled sell pressure but no bid. Key levels $60,000 (break higher → bullish) / $58,900 (break lower → accelerates down). Watch tonight's U.S. PCE.

Key Data

BTC close: UTC 2026-06-28 00:00 at $60,029.01, UTC 2026-06-28 24:00 at $59,291.66, window -0.75%
Intraday range: high $60,545.01 / low $58,905.00, amplitude $1,640.01 (2.73%)
24h total network volume: 8,907 BTC (~$533M)
Perpetual funding rate: 4-period average +0.00329% (06-28 00:00 +0.00426% / 06-28 08:00 +0.00136% / 06-28 16:00 +0.00443% / 06-29 00:00 +0.00311%)
Taker buy/sell ratio: 24h average 0.9691, latest 1.1495
Retail long/short account ratio: 24h average 2.0876, latest 2.3102
Top-trader long/short ratio: 24h average 1.2232, latest 1.2235
Open interest (OI): 24h net +0.06%, currently 102,977 BTC
Perpetual basis: stable in the -0.05% to +0.05% range
Fear & Greed Index: 2026-06-28 reported 18 (extreme fear)

24H Price Review

Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): open $60,029.01 → $59,989.17, -0.07%, 6h volume 1,926 BTC.
Phase · Pre-noon (UTC 06-12): open $59,989.18 → $60,342.00, +0.59%, 6h volume 1,700 BTC.
Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): open $60,341.99 → $59,586.01, -1.25%, 6h volume 2,455 BTC.
Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): open $59,586.00 → $59,577.01, -0.02%, 6h volume 2,827 BTC.

Macro Calendar

🟡 2026-06-30 (Tue) · U.S. May ISM Services Index · Impact: Medium
🟡 2026-07-04 (Sat) · U.S. May ISM Manufacturing Index · Impact: Medium
🟡 2026-07-04 (Sat) · U.S. May Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) · Impact: Medium
🔴 2026-07-06 (Mon) · U.S. May CPI (YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
🟡 2026-07-07 (Tue) · Mt. Gox creditor repayment window · Impact: Medium
🟡 2026-07-08 (Wed) · Strategy Inc. continued BTC sell risk · Impact: Medium
🔴 2026-07-11 (Sat) · FOMC rate decision (minutes next day) · Impact: High
🔴 2026-07-12 (Sun) · Fed Chair press conference · Impact: High

Bull vs. Bear

Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase sharp drop -1.25% + concentrated 2,455 BTC volume | touched window low $58,905.00, classic 'event-triggered concentrated sell pressure' pattern
OI 24h net +0.06% near neutral | OI net +64 BTC, capital not exiting aggressively but not actively building either
FGI 18 extreme fear — fragile sentiment | still in extreme-fear zone (since 5/31), retail L/S 2.09 heavily long = contrarian signal; if price drops further, retail stop-losses amplify selling
Phase 2 (UTC 06-12) single-phase rebound +0.59% + 1,700 BTC volume | touched window high $60,545.01, classic 'post-event technical rebound' pattern
Top-trader long/short ratio 24h average 1.22 — institutional mildly bullish | top-trader L/S 24h average 1.22 / end-of-window 1.22, shows institutions maintained mildly bullish stance through window
Taker buy end-of-window 1.1495 > 1.0 — bid returning | EOW taker buy-back paired with late-phase rebound, reflects dip-buyers starting to step in