Bitcoin · 2026-07-09

That day's trend: Neutral leaning bullish

That day's view: BTC closed 7/9 at $63,230 (window +1.51%) with intraday range of 2.89% (high $63,500 / low $61,705) and volume of 16,743 BTC, slightly higher than 7/8 (+9%). Funding rate held +0.00669% (longs pay shorts) while open interest edged down -0.22% (from 100,363 to 100,147), reflecting a mixed pattern: major players trimmed positions modestly against an FGI=22 extreme fear backdrop and released selling pressure, but volume did not expand materially and market health remains limited. Resistance at $63,500 (today's high) remains the key ceiling; a break below $61,705 (today's low) would weaken the structure. Watch the 7/10 U.S. CPI print and the 7/15 Q2 BTC holdings disclosures from a basket of listed companies this week.

Key Data

BTC closing price: UTC 2026-07-09 00:00 at $62,290.01, UTC 2026-07-09 24:00 at $63,245.08, +1.51% within the window
Intraday range: high $63,500.00 / low $61,705.29, range $1,794.71 (2.88%)
24-hour total network volume: 16,743 BTC (approximately $1.051 billion)
Perpetual contract funding rate: 4-period average +0.00669% (07-09 00:00 +0.00616% / 07-09 08:00 +0.00661% / 07-09 16:00 +0.00491% / 07-10 00:00 +0.00906%)
Taker buy/sell ratio: 24-hour average 1.0225, latest 0.8850
Retail long/short account ratio: 24-hour average 1.5857, latest 1.4631
Top-trader long/short ratio: 24-hour average 1.4007, latest 1.3944
Open interest (OI): 24h net change -0.22%, currently 100,147 BTC
Perpetual basis: stable in the -0.05% to +0.05% range
Fear & Greed Index: 22 on 2026-07-09 (extreme fear)

24H Price Review

Phase · early session (UTC 00-06): open $62,290.01 → $62,589.61, +0.48%, 6h volume 3,891 BTC.
Phase · late morning (UTC 06-12): open $62,589.61 → $62,786.34, +0.31%, 6h volume 4,219 BTC.
Phase · afternoon (UTC 12-18): open $62,786.33 → $63,142.79, +0.57%, 6h volume 6,146 BTC.
Phase · closing (UTC 18-24): open $63,142.79 → $63,230.00, +0.14%, 6h volume 2,486 BTC.

Macro Calendar

🟡 2026-07-10 (Friday) · U.S. June Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) · Impact: Medium
🟡 2026-07-14 (Tuesday) · U.S. June Producer Price Index (PPI) · Impact: Medium
🔴 2026-07-15 (Wednesday) · U.S. June Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
🟡 2026-07-22 (Wednesday) · BTC July options expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium

Bull vs. Bear

Phase 4 (UTC 18-24) single-phase sell-off +0.14% with concentrated volume of 2,486 BTC | touched window low $61,705.29, classic pattern of concentrated selling pressure triggered by a negative catalyst
OI 24h net -0.22%, near neutral | OI net -216 BTC, capital neither exiting materially nor building positions aggressively
FGI 22 extreme fear, fragile sentiment | still in extreme-fear zone (since 5/31); retail L/S 1.59 strongly long = contrarian signal, further downside would amplify selling from retail stop-losses
Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-phase rebound +0.57% with volume of 6,146 BTC | touched window high $63,500.00, classic technical rebound pattern after a negative catalyst
Top-trader long/short ratio 24h average 1.40, mild institutional bullishness | top-trader L/S 24h average 1.40 / closing 1.39, indicating institutions maintained a mildly bullish stance through the window
Taker buy/sell ratio closing 0.8850, bid recovery | late-session taker buy recovery paired with the closing-phase rebound reflects buyers stepping in after the low