Bitcoin · 2026-07-10

That day's trend: Neutral leaning bullish

That day's view: BTC 7/10 closed at $64,161 (+1.47%) with intraday range 2.80%. Volume 17,589 BTC concentrated in Stage 3 (12-18 UTC) at 5,148 BTC, 29.3% of the day. Open Interest net +3.79%, funding rate held in the +0.0090% positive band, taker buy/sell ratio 1.076 buy-side dominant — three signals converge to confirm (a) a healthy price-up-on-volume rebound structure. FGI 23 sustained extreme fear forms an expectations gap with the on-chain strength. Watch $65,000 resistance; $61,500-$62,500 is the pullback support band. If P4 OI deceleration materializes, watch for momentum decay. Next drivers: tonight US CPI release and ETF net flows.

Key Data

BTC close: UTC 2026-07-10 00:00 = $63,230.01, UTC 2026-07-10 24:00 = $64,075.16, window +1.47%
Intraday range: high $64,692.83 / low $62,926.01, amplitude $1,766.82 (2.79%)
24h total volume: 17,589 BTC (~$1.126B)
Perp funding: 4-period mean +0.00895% (07-10 00:00 +0.00906% / 07-10 08:00 +0.00725% / 07-10 16:00 +0.00951% / 07-11 00:00 +0.01000%)
Taker buy/sell ratio: 24h mean 1.0763, latest 1.0457
Retail long/short ratio: 24h mean 1.2957, latest 1.2676
Top-trader long/short ratio: 24h mean 1.3274, latest 1.3479
Open Interest: 24h net +3.79%, now 103,937 BTC
Perp basis: stable in -0.05% to +0.05% band
Fear & Greed Index: 2026-07-10 = 23 (Extreme Fear)

24H Price Review

Stage · Early (UTC 00-06): open $63,230.01 → $64,115.99, +1.40%, 6h volume 4,360 BTC
Stage · Mid-morning (UTC 06-12): open $64,116.00 → $64,425.18, +0.48%, 6h volume 3,654 BTC
Stage · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): open $64,425.18 → $63,823.99, -0.93%, 6h volume 5,148 BTC
Stage · Closing (UTC 18-24): open $63,824.00 → $64,161.72, +0.53%, 6h volume 4,426 BTC

Macro Calendar

🟡 2026-07-10 (Fri) · US June Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) · Impact: Medium
🟡 2026-07-14 (Tue) · US June Producer Price Index (PPI) · Impact: Medium
🔴 2026-07-15 (Wed) · US June Consumer Price Index (CPI, YoY/MoM) · Impact: High
🟡 2026-07-22 (Wed) · BTC July options expiry (Deribit) · Impact: Medium

Bull vs. Bear

Stage 3 (UTC 12-18) sharp drop -0.93% + concentrated 5,148 BTC volume | touched window low $62,926.01, a textbook short-event-driven concentrated-sell pattern
OI 24h net +3.79% price down + OI up = active short accumulation | OI rose +3,791 BTC while price fell +1.47%, textbook active short accumulation
FGI 23 extreme fear, sentiment fragile | still in extreme fear since 5/31; retail L/S 1.30 overly bullish = contrarian signal, further downside risks amplified retail stop-loss selling
Stage 1 (UTC 00-06) rebound +1.40% + 4,360 BTC volume | touched window high $64,692.83, a textbook post-event technical rebound
Top-trader L/S 24h mean 1.33, institutional mildly bullish | top-trader L/S mean 1.33 / close 1.35 shows institutions held a mildly bullish stance through the window
Taker buy ratio close 1.0457 > 1.0 buy-side returning | late-window taker buy return alongside the closing rebound reflects buyers stepping in after the bottom test