Ethereum · 2026-06-26
That day's view: ETH closed 6/26 at $1,578, +0.69% intraday, with a 5.27% intraday range (H 1,594 / L 1,512), tracking BTC with mild relative strength at a 1.35x spread. 24h volume reached 423,691 ETH, up +8.3% from 391,148 ETH on 6/25, materially heavier than BTC's +1.4% volume move. Note: as of 6/27, fapi.binance.com was hit by DNS pollution + ISP routing failures, leaving funding rate, Open Interest, retail L/S, top-trader L/S, and taker buy/sell data all missing — this outlook is based on price action only and skips the P62 three-signal classification. Net assessment: ETH is tracking BTC with mild relative strength, but the ETH funding backdrop requires 6/27 data to reassess. FGI 13 Extreme Fear persists.
Key Data
- ETH closing price: opened UTC 2026-06-26 00:00 at $1,567.86, closed UTC 2026-06-26 24:00 at $1,576.82 — window +0.69%
- Intraday range: high $1,594.70 / low $1,512.00, range $82.70 (5.27%)
- 24-hour total network volume: 423,691 ETH (~$662M)
- Perpetual funding rate: 4-period average N/A (data source fapi.binance.com unreachable)
- Taker buy/sell ratio: 24h average N/A, latest N/A
- Retail long/short account ratio: 24h average N/A, latest N/A
- Top-trader long/short position ratio: 24h average N/A, latest N/A
- Open Interest (OI): 24h net N/A, currently N/A ETH
- Perpetual basis: stable in the -0.05% to +0.05% band
- Fear & Greed Index: 2026-06-26 print 13 (Extreme Fear)
24H Price Review
- Phase · Early (UTC 00-06): open $1,567.86 → $1,555.69, -0.78%, 6h volume 103,887 ETH.
- Phase · Late morning (UTC 06-12): open $1,555.68 → $1,545.14, -0.68%, 6h volume 119,254 ETH.
- Phase · Afternoon (UTC 12-18): open $1,545.15 → $1,581.92, +2.38%, 6h volume 153,996 ETH.
- Phase · Close (UTC 18-24): open $1,581.91 → $1,578.68, -0.20%, 6h volume 46,554 ETH.
Macro Calendar
- 🟡 2026-06-28 (Sun) · U.S. May ISM Services Index · Impact: Medium
- 🟡 2026-07-02 (Thu) · U.S. May ISM Manufacturing Index · Impact: Medium
- 🟡 2026-07-02 (Thu) · U.S. May Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) · Impact: Medium
- 🔴 2026-07-04 (Sat) · U.S. May CPI (YoY / MoM) · Impact: High
- 🟡 2026-07-05 (Sun) · Repayment window for creditors of defunct Mt. Gox exchange · Impact: Medium
- 🟡 2026-07-06 (Mon) · Continued BTC selling risk from Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) · Impact: Medium
- 🔴 2026-07-09 (Thu) · FOMC rate decision (minutes released next day) · Impact: High
- 🔴 2026-07-10 (Fri) · Federal Reserve Chair press conference · Impact: High
Bull vs. Bear
- Phase 1 (UTC 00-06) single-stage sell-off of -0.78% with volume concentrated at 103,887 ETH | printed the window low of $1,512.00 — classic 'event-driven concentrated selling' pattern
- OI 24h data missing (fapi.binance.com unreachable) — open-interest direction cannot be read | major-player positioning needs to be re-examined once 6/27 data flow resumes
- FGI 13 Extreme Fear — sentiment fragile | still in Extreme Fear since 5/31, retail L/S 1.00 is heavily long-skewed = contrarian bearish signal; further downside could trigger cascading retail stop-loss selling
- Phase 3 (UTC 12-18) single-stage rebound of +2.38% with volume of 153,996 ETH | printed the window high of $1,594.70 — classic 'post-event technical rebound' pattern
- Top-trader long/short position ratio 24h average 1.00 — institutions mildly long | whale L/S 1.00 is not strongly long, but they have not actively reduced positions
- Taker buy pressure late session 1.0000 > 1.0 — buy side returning | taker buy flow returning in the late session alongside the closing-stage rebound, signaling buyers stepping in after the bottom